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LYB Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of LyondellBasell Industries NV(LYB) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of LyondellBasell Industries NV earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-31Pre-Market0.801.01+26.257.39B7.73B+4.59+2.70-2.72
FY2025Q22025-08-01Pre-Market0.870.62-28.747.51B7.66B+1.99-7.79-14.47
FY2025Q12025-04-25Pre-Market0.360.33-8.337.41B7.68B+3.56+0.32-1.76
FY2024Q42025-01-31Pre-Market0.750.75-9.26B9.50B+2.61-0.55+2.14
FY2024Q32024-11-01Pre-Market2.031.88-7.3910.61B10.32B-2.71-0.33+0.55
FY2024Q22024-08-02-2.232.24+0.4510.37B10.56B+1.77-3.82-1.98
FY2024Q12024-04-26-1.421.53+7.759.64B9.93B+3.00+2.46-0.90
FY2023Q42024-02-02-1.291.26-2.339.92B9.93B+0.06-1.85+0.39
FY2023Q32023-10-27-1.982.46+24.2410.06B10.63B+5.60+0.65+2.34
FY2023Q22023-08-04-2.292.44+6.5511.09B10.31B-7.05-0.75+4.43
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LYB Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, LyondellBasell Industries NV reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-31. The company achieved an EPS of 1.01, compared to analyst estimates of 0.80 by 26.25% . Revenue for the quarter reached 7.73B compared to expectations of 7.39B by 4.59% .
The stock price reacted with a 2.70% one-day change and a -2.72% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in LyondellBasell Industries NV growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

LYB Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, LyondellBasell Industries NV(LYB) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 6.83B and an EPS of 0.52.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.13%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.04%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -3.2% . These revisions correlate with a -21.64% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in LyondellBasell Industries NV long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between LYB's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.13%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.04%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-3.2%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-21.64%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:29.87B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.55
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Stock Price43.16
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LYB Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

LyondellBasell Industries NV revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-31,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.01 (Actual) vs.0.80 (Estimate) (26.25%)
Revenue: 7.73B (Actual) vs. 7.39B (Estimate) (4.59%)
Price Reaction: 2.70%(1-Day), -2.72%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-01,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.62 (Actual) vs.0.87 (Estimate) (-28.74%)
Revenue: 7.66B (Actual) vs. 7.51B (Estimate) (1.99%)
Price Reaction: -7.79%(1-Day), -14.47%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-25,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.33 (Actual) vs.0.36 (Estimate) (-8.33%)
Revenue: 7.68B (Actual) vs. 7.41B (Estimate) (3.56%)
Price Reaction: 0.32%(1-Day), -1.76%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how LYB performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LYB sees a +1.73% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.29% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.90%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -0.32% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -2.41% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-10-31
The earnings call summary shows mixed signals: strong cash flow and cost management, yet delayed growth investments. The Q&A reveals potential risk in China and vague responses on dividends and pricing. Despite solid regional strategies and polyethylene demand, uncertainties in guidance and market conditions lead to a neutral sentiment.
LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-08-01
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture: strong financial performance with cost reductions and cash flow improvements, but weak guidance and flat segment results. The Q&A reveals concerns about EBITDA potential and market dynamics, but confirms dividend security. A joint project and strategic investments are positive, but the lack of new share buybacks and potential margin pressures balance the outlook. Overall, these factors suggest a neutral stock price movement.
LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-27
The earnings call reveals mixed financial performance, with EPS and some segments showing improvement, but overall EBITDA and cash flow impacted by operational challenges. The Q&A highlights concerns over weak demand in key markets like China, supply chain disruptions, and regulatory issues. Despite dividend growth, the market outlook remains uncertain due to global economic volatility and feedstock cost pressures. The sentiment from analysts is cautious, and the management's avoidance of direct answers further adds to the negative sentiment. These factors suggest a likely negative stock price reaction.
LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-25
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. Financial performance shows strong shareholder returns and EBITDA improvements, but EPS and cash flow were negatively impacted. Market strategy includes disciplined CapEx and growth in circular plastics, but demand uncertainty and tariff concerns persist. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism, with management avoiding direct answers on key issues. Overall, the sentiment is balanced, with positive elements in shareholder returns and growth projects offset by financial challenges and market uncertainties.
LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-25
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance is stable, with no EPS growth but strong shareholder returns. However, reduced CapEx and operational downtimes raise concerns. Q&A reveals market challenges in China and Europe, with management avoiding specifics. The shareholder return plan is robust, but competitive pressures and unclear guidance on asset closures temper optimism. Overall, the sentiment remains neutral, reflecting balanced positive and negative factors.
LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-01-31
The earnings call reflects mixed signals: stable financial performance and shareholder returns, but concerns over economic pressures, competitive pressures, and operational risks. The Q&A section revealed cautious optimism but lacked clarity on some strategic initiatives. While dividend growth and share repurchases are positive, the lack of revenue or EPS growth and uncertainty in market conditions balance out the sentiment, leading to a neutral outlook.
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-01
The earnings call summary presents positive financial performance with revenue, net income, and EPS growth. The share repurchase program and dividend increase are favorable for shareholders. Despite risks and uncertainties, the company's strategic initiatives and optimistic guidance, including sustainability efforts and new product launches, support a positive outlook. The absence of specific revenue targets is a slight concern, but overall, the sentiment remains positive, likely leading to a 2% to 8% stock price increase.
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-02
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with increased EPS and EBITDA, robust cash generation, and a significant return to shareholders. The advanced recycling and low-carbon solutions strategy, combined with the NATPET acquisition, indicates growth potential. Despite some concerns about DOE funding and EBITDA targets, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by a 7% dividend increase and optimistic guidance for the second half of 2024. The Q&A section shows management's confidence in sustainable profitability, contributing to a positive outlook for the stock price.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of LYB’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

LYB reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-31, showcasing a revenue of 7.73B against an estimate of 7.39B, resulting in a 4.59% surprise. The EPS was 1.01, surpassing the expected 0.8 by 26.25% . The stock experienced a 2.7% price change on the earnings day and a -2.72% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did LYB’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following LYB’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-31, the stock price moved by 2.70% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -2.72% change. Historically, LYB’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.73% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.29% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for LYB for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate LYB’s annual revenue to reach 6.83B, while the EPS is projected at 0.52. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.13% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -3.2% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does LYB’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between LYB’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.13%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -3.2% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from LYB’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, LYB’s stock price typically moves by +1.73% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.29% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.52 and revenue of 6.83B.
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What is the sentiment in LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary shows mixed signals: strong cash flow and cost management, yet delayed growth investments. The Q&A reveals potential risk in China and vague responses on dividends and pricing. Despite solid regional strategies and polyethylene demand, uncertainties in guidance and market conditions lead to a neutral sentiment.
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