Technical Analysis
Based on the technical analysis, LULU has shown significant volatility in recent months. The stock experienced a notable decline from December 2024 highs around $406 to current levels near $392. The price action suggests a period of consolidation with weakening upward momentum.
News Analysis & Fundamental Factors
Recent Guidance Update: LULU raised its Q4 2024 revenue guidance to $3.56-3.58 billion, exceeding previous estimates of $3.517 billion. This represents 11-12% growth year-over-year.
Earnings Outlook: The company expects Q4 EPS of $5.81-5.85, above prior guidance of $5.56-5.64.
Valuation: Currently trading at 23.7x forward earnings, which appears reasonable compared to peers in the athletic apparel space.
Price Prediction for Next Week
Based on technical indicators and recent news:
Trading Recommendation
SELL with a target price of $385. Key reasons:
Set stop-loss at $410 to manage risk. The stock may see increased volatility ahead of earnings report expected on March 20, 2025.
The price of LULU is predicted to go up -5.78%, based on the high correlation periods with FMBH. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 97.73%.
LULU
FMBH
Lululemon's digital sales increased to about $5 billion in 2023 from less than $100 million in 2010 but its stores have remained very productive. Its sales per square foot of about $1,600 are extremely high.
Lululemon has a big opportunity in mainland China, which accounted for just 10% of its 2023 sales. China is already the second-largest sportswear market in the world.
Lululemon is often credited with the development of athleisure, which we believe is a major change in how people dress and has increasingly broad appeal.
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