The chart below shows how LRN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LRN sees a +0.99% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +13.59% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.03%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Enrollment Growth Trend: Record enrollments reached over 230,000 students, marking three consecutive years of growth in demand for Stride's programs.
Quarterly Revenue Increase: Revenue for the quarter was $58.72 million, reflecting a 16% increase year-over-year, driven by strong enrollment growth.
Operating Income Increase: Adjusted operating income rose to $13.56 million, a significant 43% increase compared to the previous year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
Career Learning Revenue Growth: Career learning revenue grew by 29% to $21.31 million, supported by a 30.9% year-over-year increase in enrollment in this segment.
Free Cash Flow Surge: Free cash flow increased to $20.86 million, up $48 million from the prior year, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities.
Negative
Adult Learning Revenue Decline: Softness in adult learning business with revenue down $610,000 year-over-year to $1,980,000, indicating ongoing challenges in this segment.
Revenue per Enrollment Trends: Total revenue per enrollment across both lines of revenue was $2,395, essentially flat to last year, with expectations of finishing the year down 1% to 2% in revenue per enrollment.
Career Funnel Challenges: Despite overall enrollment growth, the incremental career funnel has not materialized as strongly as expected, suggesting potential missed opportunities in this area.
SG&A Expense Increase: Selling, general and administrative expenses are expected to increase slightly in the back half of the year, reversing the declining trend seen in the first half.
Stock-Based Compensation Impact: Stock-based compensation for the quarter was $790,000, with expectations to finish the year between $33,000,000 and $37,000,000, indicating a significant financial burden.
Earnings call transcript: Stride Q2 2024 beats earnings forecast, stock rises
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