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LOPE Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Grand Canyon Education Inc(LOPE) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Grand Canyon Education Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-05After Hours1.781.78-259.97M261.14M+0.45-6.30-5.17
FY2025Q22025-08-06After Hours1.371.53+11.68240.91M247.50M+2.73+13.15+15.08
FY2025Q12025-05-06After Hours2.512.57+2.39287.18M289.31M+0.74+4.62+5.54
FY2024Q42025-02-19After Hours2.932.95+0.68289.61M292.57M+1.02+1.77-2.52
FY2024Q22024-08-06-1.091.27+16.51223.56M227.46M+1.75+0.03-3.90
FY2024Q12024-05-07-2.222.35+5.86272.39M274.68M+0.84+1.06+6.24
FY2023Q42024-02-13-2.722.77+1.84275.23M278.28M+1.11-1.28-2.02
FY2023Q32023-11-02-1.081.26+16.67219.63M221.91M+1.04+1.49+13.02
FY2023Q22023-08-03-0.871.01+16.09208.09M210.58M+1.20-0.18+1.09
-2023-05-02-1.962.00+2.04----1.70-6.83
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LOPE Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Grand Canyon Education Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of 1.78, compared to analyst estimates of 1.78 by 0.00% . Revenue for the quarter reached 261.14M compared to expectations of 259.97M by 0.45% .
The stock price reacted with a -6.30% one-day change and a -5.17% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Grand Canyon Education Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

LOPE Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Grand Canyon Education Inc(LOPE) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 307.92M and an EPS of 3.19.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.09%, while EPS estimates have been No Change by 0%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.07% . These revisions correlate with a -23.77% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Grand Canyon Education Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between LOPE's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+0.09%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
No Change
down Image
0.00%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.07%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-23.77%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.11B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:9.08
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Stock Price155.72
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Financial AI Agent

LOPE Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Grand Canyon Education Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-05,After Hours):
EPS: 1.78 (Actual) vs.1.78 (Estimate) (0.00%)
Revenue: 261.14M (Actual) vs. 259.97M (Estimate) (0.45%)
Price Reaction: -6.30%(1-Day), -5.17%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 1.53 (Actual) vs.1.37 (Estimate) (11.68%)
Revenue: 247.50M (Actual) vs. 240.91M (Estimate) (2.73%)
Price Reaction: 13.15%(1-Day), 15.08%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-06,After Hours):
EPS: 2.57 (Actual) vs.2.51 (Estimate) (2.39%)
Revenue: 289.31M (Actual) vs. 287.18M (Estimate) (0.74%)
Price Reaction: 4.62%(1-Day), 5.54%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how LOPE performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LOPE sees a +0.17% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.17% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.27%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -6.30% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -9.31% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-05
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a 9.6% increase in service revenue and improved operating margins. Enrollment growth across various programs and a robust share repurchase plan further bolster sentiment. Despite minor challenges like revenue per student decline, the overall outlook is positive, supported by strategic program expansions and effective marketing strategies. The market cap of $4 billion suggests moderate volatility, leading to a likely stock price increase in the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-06
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with increased revenue, operating income, and net income, along with a positive outlook for enrollment growth. Despite concerns over benefit costs and legal fees, the company is executing aggressive share buybacks and has a robust cash position. The Q&A section highlights continued enrollment growth and minimal impact from regulatory changes. The overall sentiment is positive, with a market cap of $4 billion suggesting moderate sensitivity to these developments. Hence, a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% is expected over the next two weeks.
Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-06
The earnings call highlights positive enrollment growth, new program offerings, and strong financial performance with increased revenue and net income. The share repurchase program is a positive catalyst for stock price. However, there are concerns about potential enrollment declines and increased costs, which are mitigated by management's strategies. The Q&A session shows confidence in enrollment targets and funding stability. Despite some uncertainties, the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks, considering the mid-cap market cap.
Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-06
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with revenue and net income growth, surpassing EPS estimates. Despite slight margin declines, the company is investing in growth areas, with robust online enrollment and new programs. The share repurchase program boosts shareholder value. Q&A insights suggest confidence in enrollment growth and minimal impact from potential funding cuts. Although there are competitive and operational risks, the proactive strategies and positive financial outlook, along with the market cap, suggest a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8%.
Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-20
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Positive factors include a slight EPS beat, increased enrollments, and a robust share repurchase program. However, concerns arise from increased litigation and investment costs, higher tax rates, and a slight dip in operating margins. The Q&A section highlights management's optimism about growth and profitability but lacks clarity on regulatory challenges. With a market cap of $4 billion, the stock is likely to experience moderate volatility, resulting in a neutral sentiment for the next two weeks.
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-07
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: positive financial performance with increased revenues and operating income, but challenges in enrollment and competitive pressures. The Q&A section reveals concerns about inflation and unclear responses regarding future policy impacts. The share repurchase plan is a positive factor, but the lowered revenue guidance tempers optimism. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to experience a neutral movement in the short term, with a range of -2% to 2%.
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-07
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with increased operating income and net income, despite a higher tax rate. The company has a robust share repurchase plan, and guidance for revenue and earnings is positive. The Q&A section reveals some enrollment challenges but management remains optimistic about future growth. Considering the market cap of $4 billion, the positive financial metrics and optimistic guidance suggest a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of LOPE’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

LOPE reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 261.14M against an estimate of 259.97M, resulting in a 0.45% surprise. The EPS was 1.78, surpassing the expected 1.78 by 0% . The stock experienced a -6.3% price change on the earnings day and a -5.17% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did LOPE’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following LOPE’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by -6.30% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -5.17% change. Historically, LOPE’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +0.17% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.17% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for LOPE for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate LOPE’s annual revenue to reach 307.92M, while the EPS is projected at 3.19. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.09% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.07% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does LOPE’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between LOPE’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.09%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.07% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from LOPE’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, LOPE’s stock price typically moves by +0.17% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.17% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 3.19 and revenue of 307.92M.
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What is the sentiment in Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a 9.6% increase in service revenue and improved operating margins. Enrollment growth across various programs and a robust share repurchase plan further bolster sentiment. Despite minor challenges like revenue per student decline, the overall outlook is positive, supported by strategic program expansions and effective marketing strategies. The market cap of $4 billion suggests moderate volatility, leading to a likely stock price increase in the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
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