Should You Buy Louisiana-Pacific Corp (LPX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
88.430
1 Day change
0.48%
52 Week Range
119.910
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/26
Louisiana-Pacific Corp (LPX) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. The technical indicators are neutral, options sentiment leans bearish, and the company's financial performance has significantly declined in the latest quarter. While analysts maintain a generally positive long-term outlook, the lack of immediate positive catalysts and the absence of strong trading signals suggest holding off on buying right now.
Technical Analysis
The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 54.689, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 90.535, with resistance at 93.885 and support at 87.185.
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
The higher put-call ratios suggest bearish sentiment in the options market. Implied volatility is high at 65.5, with an IV percentile of 74.8, indicating elevated uncertainty.
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
4
Positive Catalysts
Hedge funds have increased their buying by 129.30% over the last quarter. Analysts maintain a Buy rating with price targets ranging from $94 to $108, citing strong performance in the Siding segment and long-term growth potential.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
The company's financial performance in Q3 2025 showed significant declines, including a 90% drop in net income and an 89.76% drop in EPS YoY. No recent news or congress trading data is available to suggest immediate positive catalysts.
Financial Performance
In Q3 2025, revenue dropped by 8.17% YoY to $663 million, net income plummeted by 90% to $9 million, and EPS fell by 89.76% to $0.13. Gross margin also declined by 26.81% to 19.46%. These figures indicate a challenging financial environment for the company.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Analysts maintain a generally positive outlook with Buy ratings. Price targets range from $94 to $108, with a focus on the Siding segment's growth and long-term material conversion opportunities. However, some analysts have lowered price targets recently due to sluggish housing trends and modestly challenged packaging volumes.
Wall Street analysts forecast LPX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LPX is 104.69 USD with a low forecast of 94 USD and a high forecast of 117 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast LPX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LPX is 104.69 USD with a low forecast of 94 USD and a high forecast of 117 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 88.010
Low
94
Averages
104.69
High
117
Current: 88.010
Low
94
Averages
104.69
High
117
Truist
Michael Roxland
Buy
maintain
$102 -> $108
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
Reason
Truist
Michael Roxland
Price Target
$102 -> $108
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
maintain
Buy
Reason
Truist analyst Michael Roxland raised the firm's price target on LP Building Solutions to $108 from $102 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Early 2026 is expected to see modestly challenged packaging volumes due to limited promotions, though some CPGs are successfully driving volume while retaining price gains, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Beverage cans should continue growing in North America and Europe, and containerboard producers are likely to implement price increases successfully thanks to disciplined supply management, the firm says.
BofA
George Staphos
Buy
downgrade
$101 -> $94
2026-01-05
Reason
BofA
George Staphos
Price Target
$101 -> $94
2026-01-05
downgrade
Buy
Reason
BofA analyst George Staphos lowered the firm's price target on LP Building Solutions to $94 from $101 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm sees continued strength in Siding, which has prompted an increase in its midcycle views. Despite sluggish housing trends, LP has taken share in Siding and is continued to grow earnings and margin with additional capacity coming online in 2027, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for LPX
