The chart below shows how LPX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LPX sees a +1.64% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.00% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.59%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Earnings Per Share Beat: Louisiana-Pacific Corporation reported an EPS of $1.03, exceeding expectations of $0.79, indicating strong financial performance.
Siding Sales Growth: Siding sales grew by 9% in Q4 and 17% for the full year, contributing to record net sales and EBITDA for the siding segment.
Sales and EBITDA Growth: The company achieved $2.9 billion in total sales and $688 million in EBITDA for the full year, representing increases of 14% and 44% respectively.
Shareholder Value Commitment: Louisiana-Pacific Corporation returned $286 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder value.
Safety Performance Excellence: The company ended the year with a world-class total incident rate of 0.67, reflecting a strong focus on safety in operations.
EBITDA Margin Achievement: Siding achieved a long-term EBITDA margin target of 25% for the full year, despite a soft market, showcasing operational efficiency.
Capacity Expansion and Innovation: The company plans significant investments in capacity expansion and new product innovation to meet increasing demand, indicating a proactive growth strategy.
Revenue and EBITDA Projections: For 2025, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation expects revenue growth of 7% to 9%, with EBITDA projected between $425 million and $450 million, reflecting confidence in future performance.
Negative
Seasonal Slowdown Impact: Q4 saw a seasonal slowdown due to winter weather, impacting building activity and leading to a decline in OSB prices.
US Housing Starts Decline: Total US housing starts were down 4% for the year and 6% in Q4, indicating a challenging market environment.
Single-Family Starts Volatility: Single-family starts were down 5% in Q4, despite being up 7% for the full year, suggesting volatility in demand.
Decline in Repair Expenditures: Repair and remodeling expenditures were estimated to be down low to mid-single digits, reflecting a soft market for R&R.
OSB Segment Revenue Decline: OSB segment experienced a revenue and EBITDA loss of about $18 million due to lower prices in Q4, highlighting pricing pressures.
OSB Segment Performance Decline: Despite a strong year overall, the OSB segment's performance was below the declared cycle average quarterly EBITDA of $60 million in Q4.
Housing Market Outlook: The company anticipates flat housing starts for 2025, indicating a lack of growth in the market.
Tariff Impact Uncertainty: There is uncertainty regarding tariff impacts, which could affect future guidance and financial performance.
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (NYSE:LPX) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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