Should You Buy Lennox International Inc (LII) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. LII is in a short-term downtrend (bearish MAs, weakening MACD) and options flow is heavily put-skewed, suggesting near-term downside/uncertainty after a Q4 miss and revenue decline. A better risk/reward would be after a clear trend reversal back above ~504 pivot (and ideally holding) or on a flush toward ~481 support with stabilization.
Technical Analysis
Price context: last close ~496.11; pivot 504.10 overhead.
Trend: Bearish. Moving averages are stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating sustained downside momentum.
Momentum: MACD histogram -3.731 and expanding negatively = bearish momentum still building.
RSI: RSI(6) ~38.33 (not deeply oversold), leaving room for additional selling before a reflex bounce becomes likely.
Levels: Resistance at Pivot ~504 then R1 ~526.96 (harder ceiling). Support at S1 ~481.23 then S2 ~467.10. For a fast-moving (impatient) entry, buying below pivot while momentum is still deteriorating is unfavorable.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Mixed-to-cautious with multiple target cuts and several Neutral/Equal Weight stances.
- Mizuho (2026-01-29): Neutral, PT cut to 525 (from 565) citing weaker replacement market/peer valuation compression.
- JPMorgan (2026-01-16): Underweight, PT raised to 541 (still negative rating despite higher PT).
- UBS (2026-01-05): Neutral, PT 530; expects limited near-term catalyst and potentially conservative initial 2026 guidance.
- Barclays (2026-01-07): Overweight, slight PT cut to 667; more constructive on demand outlook.
Wall St pros vs cons: Pros—margin execution, cash flow strength, potential 2026 growth re-acceleration. Cons—near-term demand/replacement softness, recent earnings miss, and valuation/peer multiple pressure leading to trimmed targets.
Wall Street analysts forecast LII stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LII is 577.9 USD with a low forecast of 475 USD and a high forecast of 680 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast LII stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LII is 577.9 USD with a low forecast of 475 USD and a high forecast of 680 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 496.110
Current: 496.110
