LII Earnings

LII reported its earnings on 2026-01-28, showcasing a revenue of 1.00B against an estimate of 1.00B, resulting in a -5.91% surprise. The EPS was 4.45, surpassing the expected 4.76 by -6.51% . The stock experienced a -2.27% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following LII's earnings announcement on 2026-01-28, the stock price moved by -2.27% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a % change. Historically, LII's stock price tends to shift by an average of +2.67% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.86% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate LII’s annual revenue to reach 1.00B, while the EPS is projected at 3.00. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.07% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -1.05% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between LII's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.07%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -1.05% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, LII's stock price typically moves by +2.67% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.86% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 3.00 and revenue of 1.00B.

The overall sentiment is negative due to revised downward guidance for revenue, EPS, and free cash flow, reflecting lower sales volumes and elevated inventory levels. Despite cost inflation mitigation and strategic investments for 2026, the current guidance revision indicates immediate challenges. The Q&A reveals concerns about residential volumes, channel performance, and absorption headwinds, further supporting a negative sentiment. The market outlook for 2026 provides some optimism, but the immediate impact of reduced guidance and financial performance is likely to result in a negative stock price reaction.