The chart below shows how LHX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LHX sees a -1.87% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.67% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.45%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Strong Revenue Performance: Revenue increased to $21.3 billion in 2024, reflecting a 10% growth and 4% organic growth, demonstrating strong overall performance.
Free Cash Flow Increase: Free cash flow grew to $2.3 billion, a 14% increase driven by earnings growth and effective working capital management, highlighting financial strength.
Segment Operating Margin Analysis: Segment operating margin for 2024 was 15.4%, supported by continued cost savings and strong execution, indicating operational efficiency.
Cost Savings Achievement: Achieved $800 million in gross cost savings through the LHX Next initiative, exceeding the target by 2x, and positioning for further savings in the future.
Projected EPS Growth: Non-GAAP EPS for 2024 was $13.10, with a projected growth of 10% for 2025, reflecting strong profitability and positive outlook.
Negative
Segment Revenue Decline: SAS segment revenue decreased by 4% year-over-year to $1,700,000,000, primarily due to the divestiture of the antenna business and lower F-35 related volumes.
SAS Segment Operating Margin: Operating margin for the SAS segment was 10.8%, reflecting challenges on some fixed-price development programs in space, which negatively impacted profitability.
2025 Revenue and Margin Outlook: The guidance for 2025 anticipates SAS revenue growth to only $6,900,000,000 to $7,100,000, with an expected operating margin in the low 12% range, indicating continued budgetary constraints in the space sector.
Project Execution Risks: In Q4, negative adjustments of approximately $100,000,000 were realized across a couple of classified space programs, highlighting ongoing risks in project execution.
Flat EAC Projections: The company expects flat EACs in 2025, indicating no projected improvement in program performance despite previous positive EACs in 2024, which may hinder overall financial results.
Earnings call transcript: L3Harris Q4 2024 beats EPS forecast, stock dips
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