CPNG Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how CPNG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CPNG sees a -3.20% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.21% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.30%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
CPNG Key Earning Data
CPNG Earnings Analysis
Positive
Revenue Growth Achievement: Over the past 12 months, Coupang grew net revenues by nearly $6 billion or 23% in constant currency, excluding Farfetch.
Gross Profit Increase: Gross profit grew an even stronger 29%, excluding Farfetch and the FC fire insurance gain recorded in Q4.
EBITDA and Cash Flow Growth: Coupang generated $1.4 billion in adjusted EBITDA, expanding margins to 4.5%, while also delivering over $1 billion in free cash flow.
Delivery Enhancement Strategy: Coupang increased deliveries that were either same day or dawn by 45%, enhancing customer experience.
Same-Day Delivery Enhancement: The order cutoff for same-day delivery was extended by two hours, improving service for customers.
Fresh Assortment Expansion: Coupang expanded its fresh assortment by over 30% this quarter, including fresh flower delivery with a promise of free same-day and dawn delivery.
Line-Haul Cost Reduction: Coupang improved line-haul costs by 16% through operational upgrades and innovations.
Automation in Fulfillment Growth: The company nearly doubled the portion of its fulfillment and logistics infrastructure that is highly automated in the past year, enhancing productivity.
Taiwan Revenue Growth: Coupang's international market, Taiwan, saw significant momentum with net revenues in Q4 growing 23% quarter-over-quarter, primarily organic growth.
Loss Reduction Success: Farfetch's losses have shrunk dramatically to a breakeven run rate, showcasing effective management post-acquisition.
Product Commerce Revenue Growth: Coupang's Product Commerce segment saw revenue growth of 9% year-over-year, with gross profit growing 31% year-over-year.
Gross Profit Growth: The company generated $2.5 billion in gross profit this quarter, representing a 48% year-over-year growth.
Improved EBITDA Margin: Coupang's adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter was 5.3%, up 80 basis points over the last year, indicating improved profitability.
Strong Cash Generation: The company reported $1.9 billion in operating cash flow and $1 billion of free cash flow for the full year, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities.
Negative
Revenue Growth Below Expectations: Total net revenues grew only 21% year-over-year, which is lower than expected growth rates, especially when excluding the impact of Farfetch.
Korean Won Weakness: The Korean won has significantly weakened against the U.S. dollar, reaching its lowest levels in over 10 years, which negatively impacts revenue comparisons.
Increased OG&A Expenses: Operating, general, and administrative (OG&A) expenses as a percentage of revenue increased by over 370 basis points year-over-year, primarily due to the inclusion of Farfetch and its related acquisition and restructuring costs.
Profitability Challenges: Despite a record gross profit of $2.5 billion, the adjusted net income attributable to Coupang's shareholders was only approximately $24 million, indicating limited profitability growth.
Developing Offerings Challenges: The Developing Offerings segment reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $118 million in Q4, highlighting ongoing challenges in this area despite improvements in Eats and Farfetch.
Free Cash Flow Decline: Free cash flow decreased by $759 million compared to the previous year, raising concerns about cash generation capabilities moving forward.
High Effective Tax Rate: The effective income tax rate was reported at 53%, driven by consolidation of pretax losses in Farfetch, which could impact future profitability.
Developing Offerings Losses: For 2025, the company anticipates adjusted EBITDA losses between $650 million to $750 million in the Developing Offerings segment, indicating continued financial strain in this area.
CPNG FAQs
How does CPNG typically perform around its earnings report dates?
CPNG's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -3.20% change leading up to the report and a -0.21% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Coupang Inc (CPNG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
CPNG Earning Call Sentiment
Coupang (CPNG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

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