The chart below shows how KIM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, KIM sees a -2.62% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.04% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.89%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Earnings Surprise Report: Kimco Realty Corporation reported a Q4 2024 EPS of $0.4237, exceeding expectations of $0.42, marking a positive earnings surprise.
NOI Growth Analysis: Total pro-rata NOI increased by $60.8 million or 17.8% year-over-year, reaching $403.4 million, driven by acquisitions and higher minimum rents.
Same-Site NOI Growth: Same-site NOI growth for Q4 was 4.5%, primarily due to a 3.8% increase from higher minimum rents and faster rent commencements.
Portfolio Occupancy Increase: Year-end portfolio occupancy stood at 96.3%, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10 basis points, demonstrating strong leasing momentum.
Strong Liquidity Position: The company ended the year with a robust liquidity position of $690 million in cash and full availability of a $2 billion revolving credit facility, positioning it well for future growth.
Negative
Rising Interest Expense: Increased pro-rata interest expense of $16.4 million due to higher debt levels from the RPT acquisition and prefunding of a $500 million bond maturing in February 2025.
Occupancy Rate Challenges: Year-end portfolio occupancy declined by 10 basis points sequentially, despite a year-over-year increase of 10 basis points, indicating potential leasing challenges.
Credit Loss Analysis: Credit loss for the fourth quarter was 82 basis points, meeting the low end of the 2024 outlook assumption, suggesting ongoing tenant financial instability.
FFO Per Share Outlook: The 2025 FFO per share outlook range of $1.70 to $1.72 represents only a 3% to 4.2% growth, indicating a slowdown compared to previous growth rates.
Bankruptcy Risks to Revenue: Several recently announced bankruptcy filings by tenants, including Party City and Joanne’s, pose risks to future occupancy and revenue growth.
Kimco Realty Corporation (NYSE:KIM) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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