INV Stock Price Prediction

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Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Innventure Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. INV has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

INV stock price ended at $4.86 on Friday, after rising 15.99%

The Innventure Inc stock price increased by 15.99% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 4.07 to 4.86. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 22.85% , ranging from a day low of $4.07 to a day high of 5. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 22.73% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 42.52K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 91.30K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 443.42K.

INV Technical Signals

INV(Innventure Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-05-13. The total price change during this trend is +9.46%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of INV over the last 5 trading days is 215.52K. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

INV Moving Average Analysis

Innventure Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Sunday, May 18, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $5.133813333333334, and $5.653333333333334. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $3.452853333333334, and $2.933333333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

INV Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Innventure Inc(INV) as of 12 May 2025 is 18.85%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 4.31 to 4.45. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.0052

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.9

Bullish

Closing price

close > fibonacci_R1

4.86

Bullish

Moving Average

Price crosses above 5-day SMA

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

125.571

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.241

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-10.294

Bearish

INV Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Innventure Inc(INV), our algorithm predicts INV's 1-month price at $5.08, with an 4.49%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 91.57%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Innventure Inc (INV.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 4.49% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with NGG.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 91.57%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

INV

Future prediction

Up: 4.49%

NGG

Up: 4.49%Similarity: 91.57%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

NGG.N

91.57%

+4.49%

AIOT.O

90.98%

+35.02%

CX.N

90.22%

+14.15%

INV Seasonality Analysis

Based on INV's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is50.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in INV. In contrast,Octoberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Innventure Inc (INV.O) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while April has the lowest probability (25.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Innventure Inc. (INV)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.