AFYA Valuation

Afya Ltd

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14.920

-0.04(-0.267%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AFYA Relative Valuation

AFYA's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AFYA is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Afya Ltd (AFYA) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 8.50 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 15.35. The fair price of Afya Ltd (AFYA) is between 16.65 to 35.55 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 14.92 USD , Afya Ltd is Undervalued By 10.4%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

16.65-35.55

Current Price：14.92

10.4%

Undervalued

8.50

Trailing

Forward

5.53

EV/EBITDA

Afya Ltd. (AFYA) has a current EV/EBITDA of 5.53. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 9.38. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.55, Undervalued between 1.55 and 5.47, Fairly Valued between 13.30 and 5.47, Overvalued between 13.30 and 17.22, and Strongly Overvalued above 17.22. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 5.53 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

7.21

EV/EBIT

Afya Ltd. (AFYA) has a current EV/EBIT of 7.21. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 12.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.47, Undervalued between 2.47 and 7.44, Fairly Valued between 17.39 and 7.44, Overvalued between 17.39 and 22.36, and Strongly Overvalued above 22.36. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 7.21 falls within the Undervalued range.

1.91

Afya Ltd. (AFYA) has a current PS of 1.91. The 5-year average PS is 3.50. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.51, Undervalued between -0.51 and 1.50, Fairly Valued between 5.51 and 1.50, Overvalued between 5.51 and 7.51, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.51. The current Forward PS of 1.91 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.25

P/OCF

Afya Ltd. (AFYA) has a current P/OCF of 6.25. The 5-year average P/OCF is 10.92. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.99, Undervalued between 0.99 and 5.96, Fairly Valued between 15.89 and 5.96, Overvalued between 15.89 and 20.86, and Strongly Overvalued above 20.86. The current Forward P/OCF of 6.25 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.15

P/FCF

Afya Ltd. (AFYA) has a current P/FCF of 6.15. The 5-year average P/FCF is 22.41. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -53.47, Undervalued between -53.47 and -15.53, Fairly Valued between 60.35 and -15.53, Overvalued between 60.35 and 98.29, and Strongly Overvalued above 98.29. The current Forward P/FCF of 6.15 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Afya Ltd (AFYA) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.63. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.10 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -22.56% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.59, the current P/B ratio is about -37.30% higher. Afya Ltd (AFYA) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 18.28%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 12.26%, the current FCF yield is approximately 49.07% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 9.51% , the current FCF yield is about 92.20% lower.

1.63

P/B

Median3y

2.10

Median5y

2.59

18.28

FCF Yield

Median3y

12.26

Median5y

9.51

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AFYA's competitors is 1.35, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Afya Ltd Corp (AFYA) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.91, which is 41.30% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 13.52%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Kindercare Learning Companies Inc

Strategic Education Inc

Carriage Services Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AFYA decreased by 8.47% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 809.89M to 919.40M.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed -4.14%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AFYA in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

13.52%

809.89M → 919.40M

Revenue Growth

-4.14%

20.03 → 19.20

Margin Expansion

-17.85%

13.52 → 11.11

P/E Change

-8.47%