Should You Buy Installed Building Products Inc (IBP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/29
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to enter immediately. IBP is sitting near support (~$292) but momentum has turned bearish (MACD weakening) and options positioning is defensive (put-heavy), while recent Wall Street price targets ($259–$275) sit below the current price (~$292–$294). If you must act now, this is better treated as a small starter position rather than an aggressive buy, with the expectation that near-term downside risk remains before the longer-term uptrend reasserts.
Technical Analysis
Trend is still structurally bullish because moving averages are stacked positively (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but near-term momentum is weakening: MACD histogram is negative (-1.318) and expanding lower, which often signals continued short-term pressure. RSI(6) ~44.8 is neutral-to-soft (not oversold). Price is trading below the pivot (~302.95) and is hovering just above S1 support (~291.90); a clean break below that level increases odds of a move toward S2 (~285.08). Resistance levels to reclaim are ~303 (pivot) then ~314 (R1). Pattern-based projection included in the data also suggests mild weakness over the next week (-1.9%) but improvement over the next month (+4.22%).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent analyst tone is neutral overall (Hold/Equal Weight/In Line). Price targets were raised (Jefferies to $259; Evercore to $265) and Wells Fargo initiated at $275, but all are still below the current ~$292–$294 range, which reads as 'already priced in' to 'overextended' versus their valuation frameworks. Wall Street pros: well-run operator, resilient execution, attractive roll-up dynamics, some commercial strength. Cons: valuation at current levels, sensitivity to new residential demand, and expectations for a soft residential tape into early 2026. Politicians/influential figures: Congress data shows 6 buys / 0 sells in the last 90 days (net positive sentiment).
Wall Street analysts forecast IBP stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IBP is 245.57 USD with a low forecast of 203 USD and a high forecast of 275 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast IBP stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IBP is 245.57 USD with a low forecast of 203 USD and a high forecast of 275 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 292.670
Current: 292.670
