IBM Stock Price Prediction

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Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Should I Buy International Business Machines Corp Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. IBM has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

IBM stock price ended at $258.63 on Friday, after rising 0.1%

The International Business Machines Corp stock price increased by 0.1% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), rising from 258.58 to 258.63. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.59% , ranging from a day low of $255.79 to a day high of 259.8696. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.78% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -368.53K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.72M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 703.67M.

IBM Technical Signals

IBM(International Business Machines Corp Corp) has 4 buy signals and 0 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-20. The total price change during this trend is -3.12%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of IBM over the last 5 trading days is 798.30M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

IBM Moving Average Analysis

International Business Machines Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $273.75700666666665, and $283.16566666666665. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $243.3143266666667, and $233.9056666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

IBM Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of International Business Machines Corp(IBM) as of 16 May 2025 is 22.07%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 266.68 to 266.76. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Strong buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

18.031

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

9.43

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

5.454

Bullish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20

12.969

Bullish

0 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

No Data

IBM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to International Business Machines Corp(IBM), our algorithm predicts IBM's 1-month price at $267.88, with an 0.42%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.63%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 0.42% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with DELL.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.63%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

IBM

Future prediction

Up: 0.42%

DELL

Up: 0.42%Similarity: 96.63%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

DELL.N

96.63%

+0.42%

XYZ.N

96.53%

+28.17%

ARE.N

96.52%

-4.66%

NWS.O

96.47%

-0.27%

AMX.N

96.45%

-9.66%

GGB.N

96.40%

-25.35%

NWSA.O

96.32%

+0.45%

INTU.O

96.25%

+3.12%

TPVG.N

96.10%

+3.80%

HEES.O

96.09%

+2.32%

IBM Seasonality Analysis

Based on IBM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in IBM. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at70.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while October has the lowest probability (30.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.