IBM Stock Price Prediction

International Business Machines Corp

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249.120

-0.060(-0.020%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy International Business Machines Corp Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. IBM has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

IBM stock price ended at $249.12 on Tuesday, after losing -0.02%

The International Business Machines Corp stock price decreased by -0.02% on the last trading day (06 May 2025), dropping from 247.76 to 249.12. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.66% , ranging from a day low of $246.11 to a day high of 250.19. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.41% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -1.24M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.90M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 721.90M.

IBM Technical Signals

IBM(International Business Machines Corp Corp) has 3 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-03-28. The total price change during this trend is +2.10%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of IBM over the last 5 trading days is 985.78M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

IBM Moving Average Analysis

International Business Machines Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Wednesday, May 7, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $254.4410665968, and $264.29666568. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $222.55226956319996, and $212.69667047999997. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

IBM Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of International Business Machines Corp(IBM) as of 05 May 2025 is 23.74%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 245.55 to 249.18. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

3.289

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

8.22

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.807

Bullish

5 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

92.664

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

137

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

99.873

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-4.341

Bearish

Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)

UO_7_14_28 > 70

72.169

Bearish

IBM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to International Business Machines Corp(IBM), our algorithm predicts IBM's 1-month price at $242.85, with an -1.1%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.01%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a -1.1% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with MDU.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.01%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

IBM

Future prediction

Up: -1.1%

MDU

Down: -1.1%Similarity: 92.01%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

MDU.N

92.01%

-1.10%

TLK.N

90.35%

-3.95%

IBM Seasonality Analysis

Based on IBM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in IBM. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at70.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while October has the lowest probability (30.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.