Should I Buy International Business Machines Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. IBM has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
IBM stock price ended at $258.59 on Tuesday, after rising 1.93%
The International Business Machines Corp stock price increased by 1.93% on the last trading day (13 May 2025), rising from 254.43 to 258.59. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.65% , ranging from a day low of $252.88 to a day high of 259.58. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 8.02% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -1.20M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.41M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 878.90M.
IBM Technical Signals
IBM(International Business Machines Corp Corp) has 5 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-08. The total price change during this trend is -0.92%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of IBM over the last 5 trading days is 765.86M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
IBM Moving Average Analysis
International Business Machines Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Wednesday, May 14, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $259.7679081699333, and $268.24066958333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $232.35342359673334, and $223.88066218333333. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
IBM Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of International Business Machines Corp(IBM) as of 09 May 2025 is 22.79%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 254.14 to 249.20. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
9.891
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
15.63
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
2.752
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
85.006
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
84.957
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-14.744
Bearish
IBM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to International Business Machines Corp(IBM), our algorithm predicts IBM's 1-month price at $257.20, with an 3.21%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 91.65%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a 3.21% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with KFS.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 91.65%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
IBM
No Data
KFS
Up: 3.21%Similarity: 91.65%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
KFS.N
91.65%
+3.21%
ERJ.N
91.33%
-4.88%
L.N
91.25%
-1.33%
PYPL.O
91.04%
-4.62%
BXC.N
90.90%
+53.98%
AMC.N
90.75%
-6.13%
MPWR.O
90.69%
-9.40%
FRHC.O
90.37%
-14.57%
IBM Seasonality Analysis
Based on IBM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in IBM. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at70.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while October has the lowest probability (30.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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