IBM Stock Price Prediction
International Business Machines Corp
$
227.480
- Overview
- Forecast
- Valuation
IBM stock price ended at $227.48 on Friday, afterlosing-6.58%
TheInternational Business Machines Corp stock pricedecreasedby -6.58%on the last trading day (Friday Apr 2025), dropping from 238 to 227.48. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 5.85% , ranging from a day low of $226.88 to a day high of 240.16. The price has declined in5of the last10days, resulting in a total change of-6.72%during this period. On the last day, trading volumeincreaseby2.10Mshares, with the fallingprices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 7.41M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.73B.
IBM Technical Signals
IBM(International Business Machines Corp Corp) has 2 buy signals and 6 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-03-28. The total price change during this trend is -6.84%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal.The average turnover of IBMover the last 5 trading days is 1.31B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a bearish outlook in the mid-term.
International Business Machines Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Sunday, April 6, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $259.3, and $269.77. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $225.44, and $214.97. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
Summary
Strong sell
Sell
6
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-338.36
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-98.58
Bullish
6 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-7.03
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-16.56
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-2.53
Bearish
Closing price
close < fibonacci_S1
227.31
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 60-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses below 60-day SMA
--
Bearish
IBM Price Prediction & Forecast
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to International Business Machines Corp(IBM), our algorithm predicts IBM's 1-month price at $219.60, with an -10%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 93.75%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Based on IBM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in April is36.36%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in IBM. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at70.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Should I Buy International Business Machines Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the three key dimensions—technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching—we have identified the following insights.IBM has several negativesignals and is within afallingtrend, so we believe it will performweaklyin the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold anegativeevaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is aStrong Sellcandidate.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart forInternational Business Machines Corp (IBM.N)stock, as ofSunday, March 30, 2025, forecasts a-10%change over the next month, based on its high correlation withVEL.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is93.75%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
IBM
Future prediction
Up: -10%
VEL
Down: -10%Similarity: 93.75%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
VEL.N
93.75%
-10.00%
COP.N
93.11%
+1.88%
GFI.N
92.92%
-9.94%
SIG.N
92.89%
+16.14%
NVFY.O
92.75%
-5.26%
LINC.O
92.70%
+29.52%
AZI.O
92.69%
+99.36%
NTWK.O
92.47%
+34.53%
BFS.N
92.45%
+2.53%
DTST.O
92.43%
+257.14%
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while October has the lowest probability (30.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows International Business Machines Corp.(IBM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) stock?
IBM has several negativesignals and is within arisingtrend, so we believe it will performweaklyin the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold anegativeevaluation of this stock. The price is expected torise-10.00%in the coming month. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is aStrong Sellcandidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) stock in a year?
How has International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
Which bull technical signals does IBM have?
Which bearish technical signals does IBM have?
Is IBM a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
What is the trend of International Business Machines Corp (IBM)'s moving average?