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HTZ Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZ) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Sell
Latest Price
3.950
1 Day change
-0.75%
52 Week Range
9.390
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/20
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Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZ) is not a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock is showing bearish technical indicators, weak financial performance, negative analyst sentiment, and lacks strong positive catalysts. Additionally, options data and trading trends suggest a bearish sentiment.

Technical Analysis

The stock is in a bearish trend with moving averages showing SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5. RSI is neutral at 38.193, and MACD is slightly positive but contracting. Key support levels are at 3.838 and 3.697, indicating potential further downside. The stock has an 80% chance of declining in the next day, week, and month.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high put-call ratios indicate bearish sentiment in the options market, with more puts being traded than calls.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • Hertz has added the INEOS Grenadier 4X4 to its U.S. rental fleet, which could attract new customers and diversify its offerings.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company reported significantly weaker financials in Q4 2025, with revenue, net income, EPS, and gross margin all declining sharply. Analyst Andrew Percoco from Morgan Stanley lowered the price target and maintained an Equal Weight rating, citing weaker-than-expected results and guidance.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by -0.59% YoY to $2.028 billion. Net income plummeted by -59.50% YoY to -$194 million, and EPS fell by -60.51% YoY to -$0.62. Gross margin also dropped significantly by -250.00% YoY to 5.52, indicating worsening profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Morgan Stanley lowered the price target to $5 from $5.50 and maintained an Equal Weight rating, reflecting a lack of confidence in the stock's near-term performance.

Wall Street analysts forecast HTZ stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HTZ stock price to rise
0 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 3.980
sliders
Low
3
Averages
4.83
High
6
Current: 3.980
sliders
Low
3
Averages
4.83
High
6
Morgan Stanley
Andrew Percoco
Equal Weight
downgrade
$5
AI Analysis
2026-03-06
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Andrew Percoco
Price Target
$5
AI Analysis
2026-03-06
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco lowered the firm's price target on Hertz (HTZ) to $5 from $5.50 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm updated its rental car estimates post Q4, lowering its targets for both Avis Budget (CAR) and Hertz after what it calls "much weaker than expected results and guidance."
Morgan Stanley
Andrew Percoco
Equal Weight
initiated
$5.50
2025-12-08
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Andrew Percoco
Price Target
$5.50
2025-12-08
initiated
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco assumed coverage of Hertz with an Equal Weight rating and $5.50 price target. The firm adjusted ratings in the autos and shared mobility group as part of its 2026 outlook following a change in analysts. Morgan Stanley is "leaning more cautious" into next year, saying the electric vehicle "winter" will sustain through 2026. This is counterbalanced by a "moderately more positive" outlook on internal combustion engines and hybrids, the analyst tells investors.
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