HTBK Stock Price Prediction

Heritage Commerce Corp

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9.040

-0.060(-0.660%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Should I Buy Heritage Commerce Corp Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. HTBK has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

HTBK stock price ended at $9.04 on Friday, after losing -0.66%

The Heritage Commerce Corp stock price decreased by -0.66% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), dropping from 8.98 to 9.04. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.85% , ranging from a day low of $8.92 to a day high of 9.085. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -1.74% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -49.31K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 200.71K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.81M.

HTBK Technical Signals

HTBK(Heritage Commerce Corp Corp) has 6 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-12. The total price change during this trend is -4.54%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of HTBK over the last 5 trading days is 1.83M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

HTBK Moving Average Analysis

Heritage Commerce Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 4 negative signals and 0 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $9.76432, and $10.047. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $8.849680000000001, and $8.567. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

HTBK Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Heritage Commerce Corp(HTBK) as of 16 May 2025 is 9.23%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 9.52 to 9.48. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Strong buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

6 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20

9.684

Bullish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 < -100

-102.55

Bullish

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.213

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.028

Bullish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20

0.767

Bullish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 < -80

-83.784

Bullish

2 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-0.16

Bearish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA

Bearish

HTBK Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Heritage Commerce Corp(HTBK), our algorithm predicts HTBK's 1-month price at $9.15, with an -3.47%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.45%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Heritage Commerce Corp (HTBK.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -3.47% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HFWA.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.45%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

HTBK

Future prediction

Up: -3.47%

HFWA

Down: -3.47%Similarity: 99.45%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

HFWA.O

99.45%

-3.47%

EQBK.N

99.13%

-5.00%

CVBF.O

99.08%

-4.25%

STBA.O

98.80%

-4.97%

PGC.O

98.77%

-7.12%

TRST.O

98.59%

-4.71%

MOFG.O

98.55%

-5.41%

GSBC.O

98.49%

-3.61%

WSFS.O

98.42%

-4.07%

IBOC.O

98.40%

-3.93%

HTBK Seasonality Analysis

Based on HTBK's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in HTBK. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at70.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Heritage Commerce Corp (HTBK.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while January has the lowest probability (36.36%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Heritage Commerce Corp. (HTBK)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.