HPK Valuation

Highpeak Energy Inc

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6.740

+0.05(0.747%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

HPK Relative Valuation

HPK's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, HPK is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Highpeak Energy Inc (HPK) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 8.53 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 9.54. The fair price of Highpeak Energy Inc (HPK) is between 6.66 to 12.67 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

6.66-12.67

Current Price：6.74

Fair

8.53

Trailing

Forward

2.59

EV/EBITDA

Highpeak Energy Inc. (HPK) has a current EV/EBITDA of 2.59. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 3.24. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.64, Undervalued between 0.64 and 1.94, Fairly Valued between 4.55 and 1.94, Overvalued between 4.55 and 5.85, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.85. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 2.59 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

8.74

EV/EBIT

Highpeak Energy Inc. (HPK) has a current EV/EBIT of 8.74. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 5.96. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.04, Undervalued between -1.04 and 2.46, Fairly Valued between 9.47 and 2.46, Overvalued between 9.47 and 12.97, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.97. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 8.74 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.93

Highpeak Energy Inc. (HPK) has a current PS of 0.93. The 5-year average PS is 2.11. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.27, Undervalued between -0.27 and 0.92, Fairly Valued between 3.30 and 0.92, Overvalued between 3.30 and 4.49, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.49. The current Forward PS of 0.93 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Highpeak Energy Inc. (HPK) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 2.47. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.97, Undervalued between -0.97 and 0.75, Fairly Valued between 4.19 and 0.75, Overvalued between 4.19 and 5.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.91. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Highpeak Energy Inc. (HPK) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 13.58. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -36.31, Undervalued between -36.31 and -11.37, Fairly Valued between 38.53 and -11.37, Overvalued between 38.53 and 63.47, and Strongly Overvalued above 63.47. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Highpeak Energy Inc (HPK) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.51. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.38 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -62.71% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.86, the current P/B ratio is about -72.33% higher. Highpeak Energy Inc (HPK) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -13.26%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -13.38% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

0.51

P/B

Median3y

1.38

Median5y

1.86

0.56

FCF Yield

Median3y

-13.26

Median5y

-13.38

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for HPK's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Highpeak Energy Inc Corp (HPK) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -27.20%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Granite Ridge Resources Inc

Core Laboratories Inc

Loss

-0.32%

568.82M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of HPK decreased by 51.19% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 10.80 to 13.06.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -27.20%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of HPK in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-27.20%

275.27M → 200.40M

Revenue Growth

20.93%

10.80 → 13.06

Margin Expansion

-44.92%

14.23 → 7.84

P/E Change

-51.19%