HPK Earnings

HPK reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 189.00M against an estimate of 209.00M, resulting in a -9.64% surprise. The EPS was 0.03, surpassing the expected 0.07 by -57.14% . The stock experienced a -14.3% price change on the earnings day and a -1.8% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following HPK's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by -14.30% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -1.80% change. Historically, HPK's stock price tends to shift by an average of +8.04% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.14% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate HPK’s annual revenue to reach 200.00M, while the EPS is projected at 0.00. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -2.7% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 1.71% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between HPK's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -2.7%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 1.71% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, HPK's stock price typically moves by +8.04% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.14% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.00 and revenue of 200.00M.

The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment due to successful debt refinancing, cost savings from simul-frac techniques, and consistent production levels despite reduced activity. The Q&A section supports this with strategic hedging plans and the potential impact of a second rig on future production. Although management was vague on some aspects, the overall outlook is optimistic, with a focus on debt reduction and production efficiency. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to experience a positive movement in the range of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.