HNRG Valuation

Hallador Energy Co

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20.140

-1.08(-5.090%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

HNRG Relative Valuation

HNRG's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, HNRG is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Hallador Energy Co (HNRG) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 2.18 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of -19.15. The fair price of Hallador Energy Co (HNRG) is between 5.48 to 11.96 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 20.29 USD , Hallador Energy Co is Overvalued By 69.68%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

5.48-11.96

Current Price：20.29

69.68%

Overvalued

129.94

Trailing

Forward

17.32

EV/EBITDA

Hallador Energy Co. (HNRG) has a current EV/EBITDA of 17.32. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 5.85. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.35, Undervalued between -3.35 and 1.25, Fairly Valued between 10.45 and 1.25, Overvalued between 10.45 and 15.06, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.06. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 17.32 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

25.44

EV/EBIT

Hallador Energy Co. (HNRG) has a current EV/EBIT of 25.44. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 18.62. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -47.98, Undervalued between -47.98 and -14.68, Fairly Valued between 51.92 and -14.68, Overvalued between 51.92 and 85.22, and Strongly Overvalued above 85.22. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 25.44 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.18

Hallador Energy Co. (HNRG) has a current PS of 2.18. The 5-year average PS is 0.58. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.29, Undervalued between -0.29 and 0.15, Fairly Valued between 1.02 and 0.15, Overvalued between 1.02 and 1.45, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.45. The current Forward PS of 2.18 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

28.23

P/OCF

Hallador Energy Co. (HNRG) has a current P/OCF of 28.23. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.83. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -19.80, Undervalued between -19.80 and -9.49, Fairly Valued between 11.14 and -9.49, Overvalued between 11.14 and 21.45, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.45. The current Forward P/OCF of 28.23 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

-28.12

P/FCF

Hallador Energy Co. (HNRG) has a current P/FCF of -28.12. The 5-year average P/FCF is 3.27. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -156.15, Undervalued between -156.15 and -76.44, Fairly Valued between 82.98 and -76.44, Overvalued between 82.98 and 162.69, and Strongly Overvalued above 162.69. The current Forward P/FCF of -28.12 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Hallador Energy Co (HNRG) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 7.91. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.88 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 320.30% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.31, the current P/B ratio is about 503.91% higher. Hallador Energy Co (HNRG) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.40%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -1.25%, the current FCF yield is approximately -453.33% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 12.02% , the current FCF yield is about -63.36% lower.

7.91

P/B

Median3y

1.88

Median5y

1.31

4.40

FCF Yield

Median3y

-1.25

Median5y

12.02

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for HNRG's competitors is 2.05, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Hallador Energy Co Corp (HNRG) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.18, which is 6.31% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 5.57%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Natural Resource Partners LP

American Resources Corp

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

0.79

-31.56%

1.96B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of HNRG increased by 216.24% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -0.42 to -4.10.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 5.57%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of HNRG in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

5.57%

111.57M → 117.79M

Revenue Growth

-657.24%

-1.52 → 8.47

Margin Expansion

867.91%

-0.42 → -4.10

P/E Change

216.24%