Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. HNRG has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
HNRG stock price ended at $18.96 on Monday, after losing-1.4%
The Hallador Energy Co stock price decreased by -1.4% on the last trading day (19 May 2025), dropping from 19.3 to 18.96. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.33% , ranging from a day low of $18.86 to a day high of 19.3. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 28.89% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 108.17K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 837.09K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 15.92M.
HNRG Technical Signals
HNRG(Hallador Energy Co Corp) has 3 buy signals and 6 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-30. The total price change during this trend is +36.72%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of HNRG over the last 5 trading days is 24.82M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
HNRG Moving Average Analysis
Hallador Energy Co's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 20, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $20.075893333333333, and $22.146333333333335. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $13.376773333333333, and $11.306333333333331. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
HNRG Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Hallador Energy Co(HNRG) as of 12 May 2025 is 11.00%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 15.31 to 15.19. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
6
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
3.562
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
4.57
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
1.431
Bullish
6 Bearish Signals
6 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Relative Strength Index (14 days)
RSI_14 > 70
80.982
Bearish
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
93.338
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
197.493
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
100
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-5.059
Bearish
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
UO_7_14_28 > 70
70.077
Bearish
HNRG Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Hallador Energy Co(HNRG), our algorithm predicts HNRG's 1-month price at $18.27, with an -4.97%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.24%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Hallador Energy Co (HNRG.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -4.97% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HSY.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.24%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
HNRG
No Data
HSY
Down: -4.97%Similarity: 98.24%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
HSY.N
98.24%
-4.97%
SHYF.O
98.05%
+5.42%
BBDC.N
97.94%
-6.45%
HIW.N
97.88%
+5.79%
TRNS.O
97.87%
+10.04%
CCBG.O
97.73%
-12.53%
IDXX.O
97.70%
+3.65%
STEC.O
97.68%
-0.14%
SPGI.N
97.63%
-1.33%
VIK.N
97.61%
+3.60%
HNRG Seasonality Analysis
Based on HNRG's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in HNRG. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at63.64%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Hallador Energy Co (HNRG.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while December has the lowest probability (10.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Hallador Energy Co. (HNRG)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Hallador Energy Co (HNRG.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. HNRG has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Hallador Energy Co (HNRG.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Hallador Energy Co (HNRG.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while December has the lowest probability (10.00%).
How has Hallador Energy Co. (HNRG)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
HNRG's stock price fell by -2.86% in 2023,increased by 24.39% in 2024, and went up by 62.19% in 2025.
Is HNRG a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
HNRG has 3 buy signals and 6 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for HNRG is Sell . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of HNRG.
What is the trend of Hallador Energy Co (HNRG)'s moving average?
Hallador Energy Co's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of May 20 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal.
What is price prediction for HNRG stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Hallador Energy Co (HNRG.O) stock, as of May 18 2025, forecasts a -4.97% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HSY stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.24%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for HNRG Stock?
Hallador Energy Co (HNRG) is expected to reach **$18.50 - $20.00** by year-end 2025, driven by strong Q1 earnings and growing demand for reliable power. The stock's recent surge to $18.37 reflects positive momentum from its strategic shift to renewable energy and data center partnerships. However, short-term volatility is expected due to high RSI levels and overbought conditions.
What is price prediction 2030 for HNRG Stock?
### **Price Prediction for HNRG Stock by 2030**
1. **Bullish Scenario**: HNRG stock could reach **$25** by 2030, driven by strong earnings growth and increased demand for coal due to supportive policies.
2. **Base Scenario**: The stock is expected to stabilize around **$18**, reflecting moderate growth amid mixed market sentiment.
3. **Bearish Scenario**: HNRG may trade at **$15** if coal demand remains weak and operational challenges persist.