HLF Should I Buy
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Herbalife Ltd (HLF) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor. The company shows mixed signals with weak financial performance, technical indicators pointing to a bearish trend, and no strong positive catalysts. While some analysts have upgraded their ratings, the overall sentiment remains cautious due to weak fundamentals and macroeconomic uncertainties. The absence of strong trading signals or significant insider/hedge fund activity further supports a 'hold' recommendation.
The MACD histogram is negative (-0.228) and expanding, indicating a bearish trend. RSI is at 31.745, which is neutral but approaching oversold territory. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. Key support levels are at 16.187 and 15.736, with resistance at 16.917 and 17.646. The stock is trading near its support levels, but no strong reversal signals are present.
Some analysts believe in a potential turnaround, citing improved distributor alignment and sustainable business practices. Citi and Maxim have issued Buy ratings with increased price targets, reflecting optimism about sales growth and recovery in fundamentals.
Weak financial performance in Q3 2025, with declining net income (-8.86% YoY) and EPS (-10.64% YoY). Gross margin also dropped slightly. Analysts like Mizuho and BofA remain cautious, citing weak fundamentals and macroeconomic uncertainties. No significant insider or hedge fund activity to indicate confidence in the stock.
In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 2.69% YoY to $1.27B, but net income dropped by 8.86% YoY to $43.2M. EPS fell by 10.64% YoY to $0.42, and gross margin declined slightly to 77.69%. Overall, the financial performance reflects weak profitability and growth trends.
Analyst ratings are mixed. Maxim and Citi have Buy ratings with price targets of $20 and $17, respectively, citing optimism about sales growth and business improvements. However, Mizuho and BofA remain cautious with Neutral and Underperform ratings, citing weak fundamentals and macro uncertainties. The average sentiment reflects cautious optimism but lacks strong conviction.
