Should I Buy HIMX? HIMX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Himax Technologies Inc (HIMX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

8.130

1 Day change

-2.87%

52 Week Range

11.800

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/29

HIMX is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who wants to act immediately. The chart is modestly bullish, but the latest fundamentals (2025/Q3) show sharp profit deterioration (net income and EPS collapse) and revenue contraction, with no near-term news/catalyst support. Given the company’s weakening earnings trend and the probabilistic short-term drift lower (-1.11% next week, -4.8% next month), the risk/reward is not attractive for an immediate long-term entry.

Technical Analysis

Trend/price action: Mildly bullish bias but not a strong breakout setup. - Moving averages: Bullish stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests an established uptrend/positive structure. - MACD: Histogram slightly above 0 (0.000731) and expanding, supporting upside momentum continuation. - RSI(6): 55.853 (neutral), indicating no clear overbought/oversold edge. - Key levels: Pivot 8.544 is very close to the current area (~8.52). Immediate support S1 8.204 (then S2 7.995). Resistance R1 8.883 (then R2 9.092). Practical read: Technically constructive, but price is sitting just under the pivot and below first resistance; without a catalyst, upside may be limited near 8.88–9.09 while downside risk to 8.20/8.00 remains meaningful. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment: Strongly bullish skew. - Put/Call (Open Interest) = 0.18: positioning is heavily tilted toward calls vs puts. - Put/Call (Volume) = 0.02: today’s flow was overwhelmingly call-dominated. - Volume surge: Today’s option volume vs 30-day avg = 348.43%, showing unusually elevated activity. - Volatility: IV(30d) 55.6 vs historical vol 68.06; IV percentile ~37.75 and IV rank ~14.29 suggest IV is not extremely elevated relative to its own history. Interpretation: Traders are betting on upside, but this can also reflect speculative call-buying; it does not offset the weak earnings trend for a long-term entry decision.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Technical structure is bullish (MA stack + positive MACD), which can support continued grind higher if market conditions cooperate.
Options market positioning/flow is very call-heavy (bullish sentiment).
Next earnings event: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-12 (pre-market). If results and guidance improve versus the weak 2025/Q3 trend, that could re-rate the stock.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Fundamentals weakened materially in the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3): revenue down -10.45% YoY; net income down -91.78% YoY; EPS down -100% YoY.
Pattern-based projection indicates a negative drift: estimated -1.11% next week and -4.8% next month.
No supportive news in the past week; limited near-term catalysts until earnings, which is event-risk if results disappoint.
No notable hedge fund or insider accumulation signals provided (both marked Neutral).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. - Revenue: 199,161,000 (down -10.45% YoY) — indicates top-line contraction. - Net Income: 1,070,000 (down -91.78% YoY) — profitability collapsed versus last year. - EPS: 0 (down -100% YoY) — earnings power sharply weakened. - Gross Margin: 30.18% (up +0.77% YoY) — margin slightly improved, but not enough to prevent the large earnings decline. Bottom line: The growth trend is negative on revenue and especially earnings; this is a poor setup for a beginner long-term “buy now” decision despite a decent gross margin.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst rating/price target trend data was not provided, so recent upgrades/downgrades and target changes cannot be summarized. From a 'Wall Street pros/cons' perspective based on the provided dataset: Pros would cite the improving technical trend and bullish options sentiment; cons would focus on the sharp YoY earnings deterioration and declining revenue, which typically limits long-term confidence until a clear turnaround is visible. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; no politician/influential-figure buys/sells were provided.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast HIMX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HIMX is 10 USD with a low forecast of 10 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 8.370

Low

Averages

High

Current: 8.370

Low

Averages

High

Morgan Stanley

Overweight

initiated

$8.80

AI Analysis

2025-05-09

Reason