HAYW Should I Buy
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Hayward Holdings Inc (HAYW) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the company has shown positive financial growth and some optimistic signals, the technical indicators and options data suggest a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment. Additionally, the lack of strong trading signals and mixed analyst ratings make it prudent to hold off on investing for now.
The MACD is negative and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 34.089, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level of 14.999, with resistance at 16.473. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish trend.
FY 2025 net sales increased by 7% YoY, exceeding expectations.
Gross margin for Q4 reached a record high of 48.5%.
Free cash flow increased by 20% in 2025, representing 150% of net income.
Net leverage decreased to 1.9x, showing improved financial health.
Analysts have mixed ratings, with one lowering the price target to $15 and maintaining an Underperform rating.
Gross margin dropped YoY by -21.05%, despite quarterly improvements.
Stock trend analysis shows a 50% chance of a -6.76% drop in the next week.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 6.82% YoY to $349.375 million. Net income rose by 24.99% YoY to $68.41 million, and EPS grew by 24.00% YoY to 0.31. However, gross margin dropped to 38.77%, down -21.05% YoY, indicating some cost pressures.
Analyst ratings are mixed. Stifel raised the price target to $19.50 with a Buy rating, while BofA lowered the target to $15 with an Underperform rating. Baird lowered the target to $19 with a Neutral rating, citing solid execution but cautious outlook.
