Should I Buy GVA? GVA 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Granite Construction Inc (GVA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

121.570

1 Day change

1.62%

52 Week Range

124.990

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

BUY for a beginner long-term investor. Despite a slightly weak short-term technical setup, Granite’s latest quarter shows strong growth (revenue, EPS, net income, and margin expansion), options positioning is clearly bullish (low put/call ratios), and analyst commentary points to improving execution and visibility into 2026. At ~$119.63, the stock is close to support (~118.62), offering a reasonable long-term entry right now for a $50k–$100k investor who wants to act without waiting for a perfect dip.

Technical Analysis

Price/levels: GVA closed at 119.63, below the pivot (121.244) and just above first support (S1=118.62). A break below ~118.62 increases risk of a move toward S2 (~116.999). Upside resistance levels are ~123.869 (R1) then ~125.49 (R2). Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.653) and negatively expanding, signaling weakening momentum/near-term downtrend pressure. RSI(6) ~42.5 is neutral-to-soft (not oversold), implying downside room still exists if sellers push. Trend: Converging moving averages suggest consolidation rather than a strong uptrend; near-term bias is cautious, but the stock is sitting near support where bounces often start. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Both open-interest and volume put/call ratios are low, indicating bullish positioning/less demand for downside protection. Volatility: 30D IV ~31.56 vs historical vol ~17.48, but IV percentile/rank are very low (IV percentile ~6.4, IV rank ~5.98), suggesting options are relatively inexpensive versus the past year (often consistent with calmer sentiment). Flow/liquidity: Today’s options volume is light (28 contracts), so sentiment read is directionally bullish but not backed by heavy near-term trading activity.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Options positioning is bullish (low put/call ratios), supporting positive market sentiment.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Event risk around upcoming earnings: if results or guidance disappoint versus a “high bar” consensus setup (as noted by Goldman), the stock could reprice quickly.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. - Revenue: 1.433B, +12.39% YoY - Net income: 102.9M, +30.37% YoY - EPS: 1.92, +22.29% YoY - Gross margin: 18.18, +14.27% YoY Takeaway: Clear improvement in both growth and profitability (margin expansion + faster net income growth than revenue), supportive of a long-term buy thesis.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent changes: - 2025-11-11: DA Davidson reiterated Buy and raised PT to $130 (from $125), citing improving margins/cash flow and healthy visibility into 2026. - 2025-11-24: Goldman Sachs initiated at Neutral with a $109 PT, arguing consensus expectations may be demanding even after portfolio de-risking. Wall Street pros view (pros/cons): Pros: Improved execution, higher margins and cash flow, better project mix, and solid forward visibility. Cons: Expectations may be elevated; upside could be capped if growth timing or guidance underwhelms. Influential/politician trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge fund and insider activity listed as neutral with no significant recent trends.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GVA stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GVA is 119.04 USD with a low forecast of 108.08 USD and a high forecast of 130 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 119.630

Low

108.08

Averages

119.04

High

130

Current: 119.630

Low

108.08

Averages

119.04

High

130

Goldman Sachs

Neutral

maintain

$109 -> $124

AI Analysis

2026-01-28

New

Reason

Goldman Sachs

Price Target

$109 -> $124

AI Analysis

2026-01-28

New

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Goldman Sachs raised the firm's price target on Granite to $124 from $109 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Ahead of Q4 earnings, the outlook for Engineering & Construction remains selective, with valuations near highs, mixed price/cost signals, and estimates generally in line to slightly below consensus, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Preference is given to companies with durable margin improvements and upside to expectations, while caution centers on peak-valuation names reliant on future bookings, amid ongoing debate around AI's impact, data center spending, and labor-driven margins, Goldman says.

Goldman Sachs

Neutral

initiated

$109

2025-11-24

Reason

Goldman Sachs

Price Target

$109

2025-11-24

initiated

Neutral

Reason

Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of Granite with a Neutral rating and $109 price target. The company has successfully transitioned its portfolio away from high-risk design-build projects, but consensus estimates are setting up a high bar, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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GVA Should I Buy

GVA Should I Buy

Should You Buy Granite Construction Inc (GVA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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