GRBK Valuation

Green Brick Partners Inc

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66.800

+0.65(0.983%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

GRBK Relative Valuation

GRBK's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GRBK is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 9.85 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 6.94. The fair price of Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) is between 47.87 to 66.35 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

47.87-66.35

Current Price：66.15

Fair

9.85

Trailing

Forward

7.44

EV/EBITDA

Green Brick Partners Inc. (GRBK) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.44. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 5.66. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.63, Undervalued between 3.63 and 4.65, Fairly Valued between 6.67 and 4.65, Overvalued between 6.67 and 7.68, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.68. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.44 falls within the Overvalued range.

8.21

EV/EBIT

Green Brick Partners Inc. (GRBK) has a current EV/EBIT of 8.21. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 6.66. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.05, Undervalued between 4.05 and 5.35, Fairly Valued between 7.97 and 5.35, Overvalued between 7.97 and 9.27, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.27. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 8.21 falls within the Overvalued range.

1.45

Green Brick Partners Inc. (GRBK) has a current PS of 1.45. The 5-year average PS is 1.02. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.45, Undervalued between 0.45 and 0.74, Fairly Valued between 1.30 and 0.74, Overvalued between 1.30 and 1.58, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.58. The current Forward PS of 1.45 falls within the Overvalued range.

26.11

P/OCF

Green Brick Partners Inc. (GRBK) has a current P/OCF of 26.11. The 5-year average P/OCF is 38.13. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -134.02, Undervalued between -134.02 and -47.95, Fairly Valued between 124.20 and -47.95, Overvalued between 124.20 and 210.27, and Strongly Overvalued above 210.27. The current Forward P/OCF of 26.11 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Green Brick Partners Inc. (GRBK) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 9.78. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -56.77, Undervalued between -56.77 and -23.50, Fairly Valued between 43.05 and -23.50, Overvalued between 43.05 and 76.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 76.33. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.78. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.78 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 0.28% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.70, the current P/B ratio is about 5.22% higher. Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 3.08%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 5.58%, the current FCF yield is approximately -44.78% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 2.14% , the current FCF yield is about 44.02% lower.

1.78

P/B

Median3y

1.78

Median5y

1.70

3.08

FCF Yield

Median3y

5.58

Median5y

2.14

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GRBK's competitors is 0.99, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Green Brick Partners Inc Corp (GRBK) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.45, which is 46.23% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 11.24%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

GRBK.N

Green Brick Partners Inc

Tri Pointe Homes Inc (Delaware)

Dream Finders Homes Inc

Patrick Industries Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GRBK decreased by 9.57% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 447.34M to 497.62M.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed -3.91%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GRBK in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

11.24%

447.34M → 497.62M

Revenue Growth

-16.90%

20.30 → 16.87

Margin Expansion

-3.91%

8.29 → 7.96

P/E Change

-9.57%