Should I Buy GNTX? GNTX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Gentex Corp (GNTX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

23.900

1 Day change

0.59%

52 Week Range

29.380

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

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Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to act immediately. The stock is in a clear bearish technical trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 with a weakening MACD), and near-term statistical trend odds skew negative (next week/month bias down). With earnings on 2026-01-30 pre-market and no proprietary buy signals today, the better decision is to HOLD off on initiating a new position until the trend improves or after earnings clarifies direction.

Technical Analysis

Price: 23.565 (closed), down -1.17% vs prior close 23.85. Trend is bearish: moving averages are stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating persistent downside momentum. MACD histogram is -0.0551 and negatively expanding, reinforcing bearish momentum. RSI(6) at 42.1 is neutral-to-weak (not oversold), so there isn’t a strong mean-reversion “bounce” signal yet. Key levels: Pivot 23.775 (price is below, bearish bias). Support S1 23.411 then S2 23.185; Resistance R1 24.14 then R2 24.365. A decisive hold above 23.775 would be the first technical improvement; a break below 23.411 increases downside risk toward 23.185. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options positioning is strongly call-skewed (open interest put/call 0.12; volume put/call 0.19), which reads as bullish/optimistic sentiment. Implied volatility is elevated (30D IV 39.44) with IV percentile at 88, suggesting options are pricing a relatively large move (often seen into major events like earnings). Today’s options activity is light in absolute terms (total volume 19 contracts), but volume is far above its recent average (today vs 30D avg ~10.86x), indicating a notable spike in attention despite low baseline liquidity.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Upcoming earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-01-30 pre-market (Est. EPS 0.43). Revenue growth trend remains positive (2025/Q3 revenue +7.68% YoY). Gross margin improved in 2025/Q3 (+2.48% YoY), which can support future earnings recovery if it persists. Options sentiment is call-heavy, implying investors are leaning bullish into the next catalyst.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Profitability weakened in the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3 net income -17.78% YoY; EPS -13.21% YoY), which can pressure valuation and sentiment if the next earnings print doesn’t show stabilization. Technical trend is currently bearish (negative MA stack, weakening MACD). Pattern-based odds provided skew negative over 1 week (-2.24%) and 1 month (-4.8%). No supportive near-term news flow in the last week to change sentiment. No notable hedge fund or insider accumulation trend reported recently (both neutral). No recent congress trading data available (no signal from politicians/influential figures).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue increased to 655,236,055 (+7.68% YoY), showing continued top-line growth. However, net income fell to 99,444,018 (-17.78% YoY) and EPS declined to 0.46 (-13.21% YoY), indicating margin/expense pressures below the gross line or other headwinds. Gross margin improved to 34.36 (+2.48% YoY), which is a constructive sign, but it has not translated into higher EPS yet—so the market may wait for confirmation in the upcoming QDEC 2025 earnings.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so a recent trend summary cannot be confirmed from the dataset. Typical Wall Street-style bull case would point to steady revenue growth and improving gross margin; the bear case would emphasize the YoY decline in net income/EPS and the current bearish technical setup. Given the lack of explicit analyst updates here, sentiment inference leans more on price/technicals (currently negative) and options skew (currently optimistic).

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GNTX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GNTX is 29.25 USD with a low forecast of 27 USD and a high forecast of 32 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 23.760

Low

Averages

29.25

High

Current: 23.760

Low

Averages

29.25

High

Baird

Neutral

downgrade

$26 -> $25

AI Analysis

2026-02-02

New

Reason

Baird

Price Target

$26 -> $25

AI Analysis

2026-02-02

New

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

Baird lowered the firm's price target on Gentex to $25 from $26 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following inline results which were met with cool investor sentiment.

B. Riley

Buy

maintain

$32 -> $28

2026-02-02

New

Reason

B. Riley

Price Target

$32 -> $28

2026-02-02

New

maintain

Buy

Reason

B. Riley lowered the firm's price target on Gentex to $28 from $32 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after the company's Q4 revenue missed estimates. It cites a more conservative multiple given 2026's "transition-year dynamics" for the target cut. However, Riley believes Gentex's "best-in-class operational execution" and emerging technology applications could warrant a higher multiple as dimmable glass drive growth accelerates in 2028 and beyond.

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GNTX Should I Buy

GNTX Should I Buy

Should You Buy Gentex Corp (GNTX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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