Should You Buy Gladstone Capital Corp (GLAD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to act immediately. The stock’s technical trend is still bearish and the latest reported quarter (2025/Q4) shows sharp YoY declines in revenue/earnings. While Wall Street just upgraded the name and options positioning is mildly constructive, the setup looks more like a “stabilize first” situation than a clean long-term entry today.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bearish. Moving averages are stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), signaling persistent downside momentum. MACD histogram is negative (-0.0618) and expanding lower, confirming weakening trend. RSI(6) is 35.734, approaching oversold but not showing a reversal signal yet. Price (20.38) is sitting just above near-term support S1 ~20.35; a break below that increases risk of a move toward S2 ~20.07. Upside resistance levels are around the pivot 20.795 and R1 ~21.241—price would need to reclaim these to improve the trend. Pattern-based projection also tilts soft over 1 month (-1.88%).
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: multiple upgrades to Buy/Outperform (Nov 18–19, 2025), but price targets were cut at the same time (roughly to $22–$23 from $25.5–$27/$26). That combination usually reads as: fundamentals/valuation look better than feared at the new price, but the analysts are still tempering expectations.
Wall Street pros: valuation-based upside to ~$22–$23 (about high-single-digit/low-teens % from ~20.4), expectations for net interest income covering the revised dividend, and “stable credit/modest leverage expansion” commentary.
Wall Street cons: earnings pressure from higher interest expense and acknowledgement of potential near-term selling pressure (tax-loss selling mentioned), plus lowered targets implying reduced upside ceiling vs prior views.
Politicians/congress/influential trading: No recent congress trading data available; no notable politician/influential figure transactions were provided.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Wall Street analysts forecast GLAD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GLAD is 22.4 USD with a low forecast of 22 USD and a high forecast of 23 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast GLAD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GLAD is 22.4 USD with a low forecast of 22 USD and a high forecast of 23 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 20.410
Current: 20.410
