GLAD Stock Price Prediction

Gladstone Capital Corp

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26.890

+0.260(+0.980%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Gladstone Capital Corp Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. GLAD has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

GLAD stock price ended at $26.89 on Friday, after rising 0.98%

The Gladstone Capital Corp stock price increased by 0.98% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 26.6 to 26.89. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.89% , ranging from a day low of $26.5 to a day high of 26.9999. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 5.87% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -2.56K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 68.15K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.83M.

GLAD Technical Signals

GLAD(Gladstone Capital Corp Corp) has 5 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-08. The total price change during this trend is +7.86%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of GLAD over the last 5 trading days is 2.07M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

GLAD Moving Average Analysis

Gladstone Capital Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, May 19, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $27.272871533333333, and $28.170533333333335. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $24.368395133333333, and $23.47073333333333. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

GLAD Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Gladstone Capital Corp(GLAD) as of 12 May 2025 is 21.06%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 25.13 to 25.87. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

5 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

1.081

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

1.49

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.213

Bullish

Closing price

close > fibonacci_R1

26.89

Bullish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

89.359

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

175.886

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

97.422

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-4.396

Bearish

GLAD Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Gladstone Capital Corp(GLAD), our algorithm predicts GLAD's 1-month price at $21.80, with an -18.94%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.51%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Gladstone Capital Corp (GLAD.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -18.94% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with VIPS.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.51%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

GLAD

Future prediction

Up: -18.94%

VIPS

Down: -18.94%Similarity: 95.51%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

VIPS.N

95.51%

-18.94%

GLAD Seasonality Analysis

Based on GLAD's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in GLAD. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Gladstone Capital Corp (GLAD.O) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while September has the lowest probability (30.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Gladstone Capital Corp. (GLAD)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.