Should You Buy Graham Corp (GHM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor. Despite a still-bullish longer-term moving-average structure, near-term momentum is weakening (bearish MACD, recent pullback) and sentiment is cautious (analyst downgrade to Market Perform; put-heavy open interest). With management/analyst commentary pointing to a sharp order deceleration in 2H 2026 and an earnings catalyst coming soon (2026-02-06 pre-market), the risk/reward favors waiting rather than buying immediately.
Technical Analysis
Price is 69.87, down ~1.9% on the day and sitting just above key support S1 at 68.10 (next support S2 at 65.09). Trend structure is constructive longer-term (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but near-term momentum is deteriorating: MACD histogram is negative (-0.524) and expanding lower, which often signals continued downside pressure. RSI(6) at ~32.8 is weak and close to oversold, suggesting the stock may be near a short-term stabilization zone, but it is not yet showing a clear reversal. Upside levels to reclaim are the pivot ~72.96 and resistance around 77.82.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Northland moved from bullish to neutral. On 2025-11-12, Northland reiterated Outperform and raised PT to $71 after a strong quarter, citing visibility and margin expansion. On 2026-01-27, Northland downgraded to Market Perform while raising PT to $80, explicitly arguing the stock is nearing full value and that order momentum is expected to decelerate sharply in 2H 2026. Wall Street pro view (based on provided coverage): Pros—strategic acquisition (FlackTek), solid recent revenue growth, prior confidence in visibility. Cons—valuation/entry point less attractive now, expected order slowdown, and recent margin/profit pressure.
Influential trading check: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral per provided data, and no recent Congress trading data is available in the last 90 days.
Wall Street analysts forecast GHM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GHM is 75.5 USD with a low forecast of 71 USD and a high forecast of 80 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast GHM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GHM is 75.5 USD with a low forecast of 71 USD and a high forecast of 80 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 69.220
Current: 69.220
