GHM Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how GHM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GHM sees a -3.39% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +7.07% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +4.35%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
GHM Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
47.04M
7.35%
-12.18%
Gross Margin
24.84%
11.94%
3.93%
Operating Margin
4.56%
65.82%
-36.58%
Net Margin
3.38%
789.47%
-44.86%
EPS
0.14
600.00%
-53.33%
No Data Available
GHM Earnings Analysis
Graham Corp Corporation (GHM.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Quarterly Sales Increase: Sales for the quarter totaled $47 million, a 7.3% increase over last year, driven by growth across key end markets including chemical, petrochemical, space, defense, and the commercial aftermarket.
Gross Margin Improvement: Gross margin improved by 260 basis points to 24.8% of sales, driven by higher sales volume, favorable project mix, enhanced pricing, and better execution.
Adjusted EBITDA Increase: Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter totaled $4 million, a 36% increase over the prior year, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 8.6%, which is an improvement of 180 basis points.
Net Income Surge: Net income for the third quarter reached $1.6 million, a $1.4 million increase from the same period of fiscal 2024, translating to $0.14 per diluted share, with adjusted net income growing 38% on a per share basis over the prior year.
Defense Business Backlog Insights: The backlog totaled $385 million as of December 31, with 80% of it anchored by the Defense business, providing excellent visibility into future sales and operational stability.
Negative
Earnings Per Share Shortfall: Graham Corporation reported an EPS of $0.1442, missing expectations of $0.16, indicating a shortfall in earnings performance.
Quarterly Order Decline: Orders for the quarter declined to $24.8 million, reflecting a decrease in demand and a potential slowdown in business activity.
SG&A Expense Increase: SG&A expenses increased by $0.9 million this quarter, raising the expense ratio to 18% to 19% of sales, up from the previous guidance of 17% to 18%.
Backlog and Revenue Delays: Despite a strong backlog of $385 million, the anticipated conversion to sales shows that a significant portion is from longer-term defense contracts, which may delay revenue recognition.
Tax Rate Impact Analysis: The effective tax rate for the quarter was 29%, which could impact net income and cash flow, particularly in comparison to the year-to-date rate of 20%.
GHM FAQs
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GHM Earning Call Sentiment
Graham Corporation (NYSE:GHM) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
GHM.N
2.62%Positive
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: positive aspects include a 7.3% sales increase and improved margins, but EPS fell short of expectations. Raised EBITDA guidance and a strong backlog offer optimism, yet competitive pressures and economic uncertainties pose risks. The Q&A indicates cautious optimism but lacks clarity on key issues like M&A and budget impacts. With no share repurchase program, the sentiment remains mixed, leading to a neutral outlook for stock price movement.
