Should I Buy GGG? GGG 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Graco Inc (GGG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

87.580

1 Day change

0.86%

52 Week Range

89.670

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

BUY for a beginner long-term investor right now. Graco just delivered a strong Q4 2025 beat with accelerating EPS and net income growth plus improving gross margin, while the chart structure remains broadly bullish (short/medium/long MAs stacked upward). Options positioning is slightly defensive and insiders have been selling more recently, but the earnings-driven fundamental momentum and still-constructive technical trend outweigh those risks for a long-term allocation today (without waiting for a “perfect” entry).

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) supports an uptrend bias. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0376) but contracting, indicating upside momentum is fading short-term rather than reversing decisively. RSI: RSI(6) at ~52.7 is neutral—no overbought condition and no strong oversold bounce signal. Key levels: Pivot 87.122. Immediate resistance: 88.99 (R1), then 90.144 (R2). Support: 85.254 (S1), then 84.10 (S2). With price ~86.55, the stock is below the pivot but above S1—still constructive, but near-term upside likely needs a push back above ~87.1. Pattern-based drift (provided): suggests mild near-term weakness (-0.18% next week, -3.31% next month), which aligns with the MACD contraction. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/sentiment: Open interest put/call ratio at 1.16 is mildly bearish/defensive (more puts than calls outstanding). Activity: Extremely low volume (todays volume ~1; call volume 0, put volume 1). The volume put/call ratio of 0.0 is not very informative here because call volume is effectively absent—overall, options market is not showing strong conviction today. Volatility: 30D IV ~26.41 vs historical vol ~17.26 suggests options are priced with a volatility premium. IV percentile ~39.6 (mid-low) and IV rank ~8.67 indicate IV isn’t elevated versus the past year—no strong fear spike. Takeaway: Options are slightly cautious but not signaling panic; sentiment is more “defensive/neutral” than strongly bearish.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Q4 2025 results beat expectations: revenue ~$593M (+8.1% YoY), EPS ~$0.79 (+25.4% YoY), net income +21.9% YoY—clear earnings strength.
Profitability improved: gross margin ~52.38% (+2.91% YoY), reinforcing quality/operational leverage.
Event-driven catalyst already confirmed: multiple news items emphasize the earnings beat, which can support investor confidence and longer-term rerating.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Insider activity: insiders are selling, with selling amount up ~323.51% over the last month—often a near-term sentiment headwind.
Short-term momentum cooling: MACD is still positive but contracting; price sits below pivot resistance (~87.12).
Options market is not showing bullish conviction: put-heavy open interest (PCR 1.16) and extremely thin volume.
Provided short-horizon projection shows potential softness over the next week/month, which could translate into choppy entry conditions.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter (2025/Q4): - Revenue: $593.156M, +8.11% YoY (steady top-line growth) - Net income: $132.487M, +21.87% YoY (profits growing much faster than revenue) - EPS: 0.79, +25.40% YoY (strong shareholder earnings growth) - Gross margin: 52.38%, +2.91% YoY (margin expansion) Overall: clear acceleration in earnings vs sales plus margin expansion—high-quality growth profile for long-term investors.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided in the dataset, so recent trends in upgrades/downgrades or target revisions cannot be confirmed here. Wall Street-style balanced view based on the provided fundamentals/positioning: Pros: consistent revenue growth, strong EPS/net income acceleration, margin expansion, technically constructive long-term trend. Cons: notable recent insider selling, slightly defensive options open interest, and near-term momentum cooling.

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GGG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GGG is 93.5 USD with a low forecast of 89 USD and a high forecast of 98 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 86.830

Low

Averages

93.5

High

Current: 86.830

Low

Averages

93.5

High

Baird

Neutral

maintain

$88 -> $96

AI Analysis

2026-01-28

New

Reason

Baird

Price Target

$88 -> $96

AI Analysis

2026-01-28

New

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Baird raised the firm's price target on Graco to $96 from $88 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated its model foolwoing results which suggested execution remains strong.

RBC Capital

Deane Dray

Outperform

maintain

$97 -> $100

2026-01-28

New

Reason

RBC Capital

Deane Dray

Price Target

$97 -> $100

2026-01-28

New

maintain

Outperform

Reason

RBC Capital analyst Deane Dray raised the firm's price target on Graco to $100 from $97 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The company reported in-line Q4 and as-expected low-single-digit 2026 organic revenue guide, while its underlying earnings quality and free cash flow were solid, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Broader short-cycle industrial demand remains choppy but RBC liked seeing home center/Contractor inflecting positively after 1.5 years of declines, the firm added.

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GGG Should I Buy

GGG Should I Buy

Should You Buy Graco Inc (GGG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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