Based on the provided data, I'll analyze whether GGG (Graco Inc) is overvalued.
Valuation Analysis
The latest P/E ratio of 29.84x is significantly higher than the industrial machinery sector average, indicating premium pricing. The EV/EBITDA of 20.64x also suggests rich valuation compared to peers.
Financial Performance
Q4 2024 results show concerning trends:
- EPS of $0.64 missed consensus of $0.76
- Net margin declined to 19.81% from 24.83% year-over-year
- ROE decreased to 20.22% from 23.12% year-over-year
Recent Price Action
The stock dropped nearly 3% after disappointing Q4 earnings, suggesting market concerns about valuation and growth trajectory.
Analyst Sentiment
Recent analyst actions indicate mixed views:
- RBC Capital maintained Buy rating with $97 target, citing quality industrial positioning
- Baird lowered target to $85 from $88, noting earnings miss and margin pressure
- DA Davidson maintained Hold rating with $79 target
Based on deteriorating margins, premium valuation multiples, and recent earnings miss, GGG appears overvalued at current levels.