GFR Valuation

Greenfire Resources Ltd

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5.180

-0.18(-3.358%)1D

GFR Relative Valuation

GFR's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GFR is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.00 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 4.09. The fair price of Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) is between +Inf to +Inf according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 5.18 USD , Greenfire Resources Ltd is Undervalued By Fair.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

+Inf-+Inf

Current Price：5.18

Fair

Undervalued

22.65

Trailing

Forward

6.47

EV/EBITDA

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) has a current EV/EBITDA of 6.47. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 1.93. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.97, Undervalued between -1.97 and -0.02, Fairly Valued between 3.87 and -0.02, Overvalued between 3.87 and 5.82, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.82. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 6.47 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

20.65

EV/EBIT

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) has a current EV/EBIT of 20.65. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 4.37. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -8.29, Undervalued between -8.29 and -1.96, Fairly Valued between 10.70 and -1.96, Overvalued between 10.70 and 17.03, and Strongly Overvalued above 17.03. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 20.65 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

0.88

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) has a current PS of 0.88. The 5-year average PS is 0.28. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.36, Undervalued between -0.36 and -0.04, Fairly Valued between 0.60 and -0.04, Overvalued between 0.60 and 0.92, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.92. The current Forward PS of 0.88 falls within the Overvalued range.

4.68

P/OCF

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) has a current P/OCF of 4.68. The 5-year average P/OCF is 1.51. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.48, Undervalued between -1.48 and 0.01, Fairly Valued between 3.00 and 0.01, Overvalued between 3.00 and 4.49, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.49. The current Forward P/OCF of 4.68 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

-8.07

P/FCF

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) has a current P/FCF of -8.07. The 5-year average P/FCF is 0.35. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -9.73, Undervalued between -9.73 and -4.69, Fairly Valued between 5.40 and -4.69, Overvalued between 5.40 and 10.44, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.44. The current Forward P/FCF of -8.07 falls within the Undervalued range.

Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.58. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.60 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -3.43% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -6.69, the current P/B ratio is about -108.73% higher. Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 11.35%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 10.30% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

0.58

P/B

Median3y

0.60

Median5y

-6.69

17.67

FCF Yield

Median3y

11.35

Median5y

10.30

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GFR's competitors is 6.88, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Greenfire Resources Ltd Corp (GFR) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is -100.00% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -26.14%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

GFR.N

Greenfire Resources Ltd

Tamboran Resources Corp

Riley Exploration Permian Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GFR decreased by 29.04% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 1.76 to 3.82.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -26.14%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GFR in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-26.14%

184.95M → 136.60M

Revenue Growth

-120.12%

31.86 → -6.41

Margin Expansion

117.22%

1.76 → 3.82

P/E Change

-29.04%