Should You Buy Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
5.540
1 Day change
0.73%
52 Week Range
6.690
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/29
Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. The company's financial performance is deteriorating significantly, with declining revenue, net income, and EPS. Additionally, there are no positive trading signals or catalysts to support a bullish stance. While technical indicators show some short-term bullishness, the lack of strong growth prospects and no significant news or insider activity makes this stock less appealing for long-term investment.
Technical Analysis
The technical indicators show a mixed picture. The MACD is positive but contracting, indicating weakening momentum. The RSI is in the neutral zone at 72.793, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key resistance levels are at 5.612 and 5.82, while support levels are at 4.94 and 4.732. However, the stock's candlestick pattern suggests a 50% chance of a minor gain (0.67%) in the next day but a potential decline (-3.31%) in the next week.
Options Data
Positive Catalysts
Bullish moving averages and a minor price increase of 0.73% in the last session.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Significant decline in financial performance, including revenue (-26.14% YoY), net income (-114.85% YoY), and EPS (-114.67% YoY). No recent news, insider activity, or hedge fund interest. The stock has a higher probability of declining in the next week (-3.31%).
Financial Performance
In Q3 2025, Greenfire Resources reported a revenue drop to $136.6M (-26.14% YoY), net income dropped to -$8.75M (-114.85% YoY), and EPS fell to -0.11 (-114.67% YoY). Gross margin also decreased to 62.04% (-9.80% YoY), indicating worsening profitability.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No recent analyst ratings or price target changes are available.
Wall Street analysts forecast GFR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GFR is 5.76 USD with a low forecast of 5.76 USD and a high forecast of 5.76 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GFR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GFR is 5.76 USD with a low forecast of 5.76 USD and a high forecast of 5.76 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 5.500
Low
5.76
Averages
5.76
High
5.76
Current: 5.500
Low
5.76
Averages
5.76
High
5.76
BMO Capital
Tariq Saad
Outperform -> Market Perform
downgrade
$8
AI Analysis
2025-09-22
Reason
BMO Capital
Tariq Saad
Price Target
$8
AI Analysis
2025-09-22
downgrade
Outperform -> Market Perform
Reason
BMO Capital analyst Tariq Saad downgraded Greenfire Resources to Market Perform from Outperform with an unchanged price target of C$8. The firm expects the company to \"materially outspend\" its cash flow in 2026, driving leverage higher. It believes the shares are due for a \"breather.\"
