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GEVO Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Gevo Inc (GEVO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
1.800
1 Day change
5.88%
52 Week Range
2.970
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Gevo Inc (GEVO) is not a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. The stock is experiencing significant downward momentum due to negative news catalysts and financial challenges. Additionally, there are no strong trading signals or positive technical indicators to suggest a favorable entry point.

Technical Analysis

The stock is in a clear downtrend with a MACD histogram of -0.0669, indicating negative momentum. RSI is at 20.017, suggesting oversold conditions but not providing a clear buy signal. Moving averages are converging, and the stock is trading below key support levels (S1: 1.744, current price: 1.705).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • The company has shown significant revenue growth in the latest quarter, up 702.60% YoY, and plans to expand ethanol production at its North Dakota site, which could have attractive economics in the long term.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Gevo's withdrawal of its loan guarantee application with the U.S. Department of Energy has raised concerns about its financing outlook, leading to a sharp decline in stock price. The company's net income and EPS have significantly declined YoY, and gross margin has dropped substantially. Analysts have lowered the price target due to these developments.

Financial Performance

In 2025/Q4, revenue increased by 702.60% YoY to $45.75M. However, net income dropped by 64.23% YoY to -$6.3M, EPS fell by 62.50% YoY to -$0.03, and gross margin declined by 146.34% YoY to 36.31%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain an Outperform rating but have lowered the price target from $3.75 to $3.50, citing concerns over financing challenges for the ATJ-30 project. However, they remain optimistic about the project's long-term economics.

Wall Street analysts forecast GEVO stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GEVO stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1.700
sliders
Low
3
Averages
8.5
High
14
Current: 1.700
sliders
Low
3
Averages
8.5
High
14
Northland
Outperform
maintain
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
Reason
Northland
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Northland lowered the firm's price target on Gevo to $3.50 from $3.75 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after the company announced that it has withdrawn its loan guarantee application with the DOE's Office of Energy Dominance Financing for its ATJ-30 project due to requirements that "did not make sense for the company." Gevo plans to seek a private credit solution, which, "while not as cheap, should still allow the project to earn healthy economics," the analyst tells investors.
Northland
Outperform
maintain
$3
2026-03-31
Reason
Northland
Price Target
$3
2026-03-31
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Northland raised the firm's price target on Gevo to $3.75 from $3 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after the company announced it is developing plans to expand ethanol production at its existing North Dakota site by about 75M gallons. The firm sees "attractive economics" for the expansion with a payback period of under five years, the analyst tells investors.
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