GEVO Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how GEVO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GEVO sees a +1.25% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +4.25% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.14%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
GEVO Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
1.97M
-56.60%
-62.64%
Gross Margin
-235.27%
176.20%
294.22%
Operating Margin
-1221.78%
166.92%
167.45%
Net Margin
-1076.64%
210.51%
169.65%
EPS
-0.09
-28.57%
-0.00%
No Data Available
GEVO Earnings Analysis
Gevo, Inc. Corporation (GEVO.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Ethanol Acquisition Revenue Impact: The acquisition of Red Trail Energy's low-carbon ethanol and carbon capture assets in North Dakota is expected to close by the first quarter of next year, bringing approximately $200 million in revenue in the fiscal year of 2023.
Strong Liquidity Position: The company ended the third quarter of 2024 with $292.9 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, reflecting a strong liquidity position.
RNG Business Revenue Breakdown: During the third quarter, the company generated $2 million in revenue from its RNG business, including $1.8 million in net proceeds from environmental attributes and $0.2 million in RNG sales.
Net-Zero Project Milestone: The company achieved significant milestones in its Net-Zero 1 project, with a $1.63 billion loan facility marking the first large-scale, alcohol-to-jet project to receive such a commitment.
Low-Carbon Ethanol Conversion: The company is exploring converting low-carbon ethanol at the site to SAF using its Verity business to track the farms and count carbon, ensuring accountability for all carbon abatements.
Negative
Operational Loss Challenges: The company ended the third quarter of 2024 with a loss from operations of $24 million, indicating significant operational challenges.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss: The non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss was $16.7 million, reflecting ongoing financial difficulties.
Weak Financial Performance: Combined revenue and interest income for the third quarter was only $5.8 million, highlighting weak financial performance.
RNG Revenue Decline: The third quarter results included only $2 million in revenue generated by the RNG business, which is a reduction in sales due to strategic choices.
High SG&A Expenses: SG&A expenses were reported at $8.6 million for the quarter, excluding non-cash stock-based compensation of $3.1 million, indicating high operational costs.
GEVO FAQs
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GEVO Earning Call Sentiment
Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
GEVO.O
-1.8%Positive
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong liquidity and strategic investments (e.g., RNG revenue expectations, stock repurchase) are positive, but operational risks and a significant loss from operations raise concerns. The Q&A reveals uncertainties about financing timelines and project execution. While the RNG project and Google collaboration could drive future growth, the current financial health and lack of clear guidance on key projects temper expectations. The market reaction is likely to be neutral, as positive long-term prospects are offset by immediate challenges and uncertainties.
