GES Relative Valuation
GES's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GES is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Guess? Inc (GES) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 9.32 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 8.62. The fair price of Guess? Inc (GES) is between 17.25 to 24.49 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 13.03 USD , Guess? Inc is Undervalued By 24.48%.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
17.25-24.49
Current Price：13.03
24.48%
Undervalued
9.32
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
9.64
EV/EBITDA
Guess? Inc. (GES) has a current EV/EBITDA of 9.64. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 7.86. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.57, Undervalued between 3.57 and 5.72, Fairly Valued between 10.00 and 5.72, Overvalued between 10.00 and 12.14, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.14. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 9.64 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
14.63
EV/EBIT
Guess? Inc. (GES) has a current EV/EBIT of 14.63. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 10.62. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.51, Undervalued between 1.51 and 6.06, Fairly Valued between 15.17 and 6.06, Overvalued between 15.17 and 19.73, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.73. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 14.63 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
0.20
PS
Guess? Inc. (GES) has a current PS of 0.20. The 5-year average PS is 0.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.16, Undervalued between 0.16 and 0.29, Fairly Valued between 0.56 and 0.29, Overvalued between 0.56 and 0.69, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.69. The current Forward PS of 0.20 falls within the Undervalued range.
0.00
P/OCF
Guess? Inc. (GES) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 2.34. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.33, Undervalued between -3.33 and -0.50, Fairly Valued between 5.17 and -0.50, Overvalued between 5.17 and 8.01, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.01. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
76.25
P/FCF
Guess? Inc. (GES) has a current P/FCF of 76.25. The 5-year average P/FCF is 10.36. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -27.12, Undervalued between -27.12 and -8.38, Fairly Valued between 29.10 and -8.38, Overvalued between 29.10 and 47.84, and Strongly Overvalued above 47.84. The current Forward P/FCF of 76.25 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.
Guess? Inc (GES) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.41. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.05 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -31.40% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.25, the current P/B ratio is about -37.43% higher. Guess? Inc (GES) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -2.42%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 12.22%, the current FCF yield is approximately -119.83% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 12.41% , the current FCF yield is about -119.53% lower.
1.41
P/B
Median3y
2.05
Median5y
2.25
-2.42
FCF Yield
Median3y
12.22
Median5y
12.41
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for GES's competitors is 0.61, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Guess? Inc Corp (GES) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.20, which is -67.02% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 9.44%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of GES decreased by 34.52% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 40.42 to 135.50.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 9.44%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of GES in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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