GENI Valuation

Genius Sports Ltd

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12.880

+0.23(1.818%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

GENI Relative Valuation

GENI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GENI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Genius Sports Ltd (GENI) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 4.37 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 22.42. The fair price of Genius Sports Ltd (GENI) is between 6.66 to 20.06 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

6.66-20.06

Current Price：12.46

Fair

238.21

Trailing

Forward

19.63

EV/EBITDA

Genius Sports Ltd. (GENI) has a current EV/EBITDA of 19.63. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 16.47. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -453.21, Undervalued between -453.21 and -218.37, Fairly Valued between 251.32 and -218.37, Overvalued between 251.32 and 486.16, and Strongly Overvalued above 486.16. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 19.63 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

200.49

EV/EBIT

Genius Sports Ltd. (GENI) has a current EV/EBIT of 200.49. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -10.51. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -597.27, Undervalued between -597.27 and -303.89, Fairly Valued between 282.87 and -303.89, Overvalued between 282.87 and 576.25, and Strongly Overvalued above 576.25. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 200.49 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

4.37

Genius Sports Ltd. (GENI) has a current PS of 4.37. The 5-year average PS is 3.79. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.08, Undervalued between -2.08 and 0.85, Fairly Valued between 6.72 and 0.85, Overvalued between 6.72 and 9.66, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.66. The current Forward PS of 4.37 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

23.25

P/OCF

Genius Sports Ltd. (GENI) has a current P/OCF of 23.25. The 5-year average P/OCF is -0.82. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -289.79, Undervalued between -289.79 and -145.31, Fairly Valued between 143.66 and -145.31, Overvalued between 143.66 and 288.14, and Strongly Overvalued above 288.14. The current Forward P/OCF of 23.25 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

38.45

P/FCF

Genius Sports Ltd. (GENI) has a current P/FCF of 38.45. The 5-year average P/FCF is 97.29. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1131.70, Undervalued between -1131.70 and -517.21, Fairly Valued between 711.78 and -517.21, Overvalued between 711.78 and 1326.28, and Strongly Overvalued above 1326.28. The current Forward P/FCF of 38.45 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Genius Sports Ltd (GENI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 4.21. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.39 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 76.24% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.03, the current P/B ratio is about 107.46% higher. Genius Sports Ltd (GENI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 1.26%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 0.12%, the current FCF yield is approximately 961.17% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -1.04% , the current FCF yield is about -221.39% lower.

4.15

P/B

Median3y

2.39

Median5y

2.03

1.26

FCF Yield

Median3y

0.12

Median5y

-1.04

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GENI's competitors is 7.08, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Genius Sports Ltd Corp (GENI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 4.37, which is -38.27% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 24.38%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GENI increased by 69.03% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -22.83 to -45.44.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 24.38%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GENI in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

24.38%

95.45M → 118.72M

Revenue Growth

99.04%

-22.83 → -45.44

Margin Expansion

-54.39%

-84.77 → -38.66

P/E Change

69.03%