Should I Buy GEL? GEL 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Genesis Energy LP (GEL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

17.270

1 Day change

52 Week Range

17.770

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

GEL is not a good buy right now for a Beginner, long-term investor who wants to act immediately. The stock looks technically oversold (could bounce), and options positioning is bullish, but the underlying fundamentals in the latest quarter show earnings deterioration (net loss) and there are no Intellectia buy signals to justify prioritizing entry today. If you already own it, holding into the next earnings catalyst makes more sense than starting a new long-term position at this moment.

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: The setup is mixed-to-bearish near-term. MACD histogram (-0.0915) is below zero and negatively expanding, which typically signals a weakening trend/momentum to the downside. However, RSI(6) at ~17 is deeply oversold, which often precedes short-term relief rallies. Moving averages: “Converging” suggests indecision/transition rather than a clear uptrend. Key levels: Pivot ~16.12 is a key reference for trend support; S1 ~15.56 (then S2 ~15.22) are downside levels to watch. Resistance levels listed (R1 ~16.67, R2 ~17.02) are near/under the latest price area, implying the stock is battling overhead supply and not yet establishing a clean uptrend. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment from options: Put/Call ratios are very low (OI PCR 0.26; Volume PCR 0.24), which is generally bullish (more calls than puts). Positioning/Activity: Today’s option volume is elevated versus the 30-day average (6.12x), suggesting increased attention/speculation. Volatility: IV percentile is high (85.6) with 30D IV ~45.2 vs historical vol ~34.25. This indicates options are priced with elevated implied risk; sentiment may be bullish, but the market is also expecting larger moves than usual.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Technically oversold (RSI ~17), which increases the odds of a near-term rebound.
Options positioning skews bullish (very low put/call ratios) and volume is elevated, suggesting optimistic sentiment.
Upcoming earnings: 2026-02-12 (pre-market) can act as a catalyst if results/forward commentary improve.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Momentum is still bearish (MACD histogram below 0 and worsening), so “oversold” can persist without a sustained bounce.
Latest quarter profitability weakened materially (net loss), which is a headwind for long-term conviction.
No supportive recent news flow; no clear event-driven positive narrative in the last week.
No Intellectia AI Stock Picker or SwingMax buy signals today to prioritize an entry.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. - Revenue: $414.0M, +4.21% YoY (top-line growth modestly positive). - Net Income: -$5.66M, -85.51% YoY (profitability meaningfully worse; moved deeper into loss). - EPS: -$0.05, -84.38% YoY (earnings trend negative). - Gross Margin: 22.68%, +42.19% YoY (margin improved, but not enough to prevent a net loss). Overall: improving gross margin and growing revenue are positives, but the deterioration into a net loss makes the long-term quality of earnings a concern right now.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so the recent Wall Street trend cannot be verified from this dataset. Pros typically cited by Wall Street for midstream/energy partnerships: cash-flow potential and asset-backed businesses. Cons highlighted by the latest data here: worsening bottom-line results (net loss) and a technically weak momentum profile.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GEL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEL is 19.5 USD with a low forecast of 19 USD and a high forecast of 20 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 17.270

Low

Averages

19.5

High

Current: 17.270

Low

Averages

19.5

High

RBC Capital

Elvira Scotto

Outperform

maintain

$15 -> $18

AI Analysis

2025-07-25

Reason

RBC Capital

Elvira Scotto

Price Target

$15 -> $18

AI Analysis

2025-07-25

maintain

Outperform

Reason

RBC Capital analyst Elvira Scotto raised the firm's price target on Genesis Energy to $18 from $15 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares ahead of the Q2 earnings report on July 31. RBC expects the call will focus on offshore project updates, capital allocation plans, and any updates to the outlook, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Wells Fargo

Michael Blum

Hold

Buy

Upgrades

$15 → $18

2025-03-17

Reason

Wells Fargo

Michael Blum

Price Target

$15 → $18

2025-03-17

Upgrades

Hold

Buy

Reason

Wells Fargo analyst Michael Blum upgraded Genesis Energy to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $18, up from $15.

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GEL Should I Buy

GEL Should I Buy

Should You Buy Genesis Energy LP (GEL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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