Should I Buy Great Elm Capital Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. GECC has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
GECC stock price ended at $11.05 on Friday, after rising 0.55%
The Great Elm Capital Corp stock price increased by 0.55% on the last trading day (13 Jun 2025), rising from 11 to 11.05. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.46% , ranging from a day low of $10.91 to a day high of 11.0693. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.95% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 19.18K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 46.06K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 506.53K.
GECC Technical Signals
GECC(Great Elm Capital Corp Corp) has 3 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-21. The total price change during this trend is +3.66%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of GECC over the last 5 trading days is 324.99K. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
GECC Moving Average Analysis
Great Elm Capital Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, June 16, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $11.274389999999999, and $11.537969999999998. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $10.421549999999998, and $10.157969999999999. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
GECC Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Great Elm Capital Corp(GECC) as of 13 Jun 2025 is 46.57%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 10.99 to 11.05. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.453
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.42
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.169
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
83.15
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
123.608
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-16.484
Bearish
GECC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Great Elm Capital Corp(GECC), our algorithm predicts GECC's 1-month price at $10.75, with an -2.71%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.78%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC.O) stock, as of Sunday, June 15, 2025 , forecasts a -2.71% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with UFCS.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.78%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
GECC
No Data
UFCS
Down: -2.71%Similarity: 94.78%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
UFCS.O
94.78%
-2.71%
FERG.N
94.03%
+2.23%
WBD.O
93.91%
-8.58%
IVT.N
93.75%
+16.78%
DSGR.O
93.66%
-4.15%
EW.N
93.60%
-2.85%
WM.N
93.24%
+6.39%
PMTS.O
92.95%
+23.85%
SMPL.O
92.86%
+2.32%
TNL.N
92.73%
+4.87%
GECC Seasonality Analysis
Based on GECC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is58.33%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in GECC. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at72.73%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC.O) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while September has the lowest probability (27.27%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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