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GCMG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
9.650
1 Day change
-1.03%
52 Week Range
13.480
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/20
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GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. Despite positive financial performance and favorable analyst upgrades, the lack of strong trading signals, insider selling, and bearish technical indicators suggest waiting for a better entry point.

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently in a bearish trend with the MACD histogram below zero (-0.162) and negatively contracting. RSI is at 19.551, indicating an oversold condition. Moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support levels are at 10.153 and 9.753, while resistance levels are at 10.8 and 11.448.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q3 2025 with revenue up 9.79% YoY, net income up 152.53% YoY, and EPS up 433.33% YoY.

  • Analyst upgrades with price targets increased to $14 and $24, citing strong fundraising flows and broadening flow drivers.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling, with a 525.69% increase in selling activity over the last month.

  • Bearish technical indicators and lack of strong trading signals.

  • No recent news or event-driven catalysts to support immediate upward momentum.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, GCM Grosvenor reported revenue of $134.97M, up 9.79% YoY. Net income increased significantly to $10.495M, up 152.53% YoY. EPS improved to 0.16, a 433.33% YoY increase. Gross margin remained stable at 100%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have recently upgraded the stock. TD Cowen upgraded GCMG to Buy with a price target of $14, citing the company's ability to navigate macroeconomic conditions. Oppenheimer raised the price target to $24, highlighting strong fundraising flows and attractive valuation levels.

Wall Street analysts forecast GCMG stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GCMG stock price to rise
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 9.650
sliders
Low
14.5
Averages
19.25
High
24
Current: 9.650
sliders
Low
14.5
Averages
19.25
High
24
TD Cowen
Bill Katz
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$14
AI Analysis
2026-02-12
Reason
TD Cowen
Bill Katz
Price Target
$14
AI Analysis
2026-02-12
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
As previously reported, TD Cowen analyst Bill Katz upgraded GCM Grosvenor to Buy from Hold with a price target of $14, up from $12.50. The firm, which sees broadening flow drivers, views the stock as "readily equipped to navigate both" a defensive and offensive macro backdrop, the analyst tells investors.
TD Cowen
Hold -> Buy
upgrade
$14
2026-02-12
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$14
2026-02-12
upgrade
Hold -> Buy
Reason
TD Cowen upgraded GCM Grosvenor to Buy from Hold with a $14 price target.
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