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GCMG Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of GCM Grosvenor Inc(GCMG) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of GCM Grosvenor Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-05Pre-Market0.160.19+18.75126.70M134.97M+6.52+1.22+1.83
FY2025Q22025-08-07Pre-Market0.130.16+23.08117.30M119.66M+2.01+1.95+10.71
FY2025Q12025-05-07Pre-Market0.100.18+80.00125.67M125.85M+0.14--0.63
FY2024Q42025-02-10Pre-Market0.180.27+50.00161.10M165.26M+2.58+3.76+2.14
FY2024Q22024-08-08Pre-Market0.120.15+25.00113.30M116.95M+3.23-1.15+3.17
FY2024Q12024-05-07-0.090.04-55.56113.37M108.87M-3.97+0.20-2.56
FY2023Q42024-02-13-0.160.08-50.00119.73M116.56M-2.65-2.15-4.19
FY2023Q32023-11-08-0.110.14+27.27111.80M121.71M+8.87+2.13+4.60
FY2023Q22023-08-09-0.080.10+25.00102.97M107.61M+4.51+2.56+2.44
-2023-05-10-0.090.10+11.11----3.52-10.68
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GCMG Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, GCM Grosvenor Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of 0.19, compared to analyst estimates of 0.16 by 18.75% . Revenue for the quarter reached 134.97M compared to expectations of 126.70M by 6.52% .
The stock price reacted with a 1.22% one-day change and a 1.83% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in GCM Grosvenor Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

GCMG Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, GCM Grosvenor Inc(GCMG) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 160.20M and an EPS of 0.24.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 1.61%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 2.37%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 1.97% . These revisions correlate with a -12.29% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in GCM Grosvenor Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between GCMG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+1.61%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+2.37%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+1.97%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-12.29%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:534.59M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.78
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Stock Price11.20
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GCMG Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

GCM Grosvenor Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.19 (Actual) vs.0.16 (Estimate) (18.75%)
Revenue: 134.97M (Actual) vs. 126.70M (Estimate) (6.52%)
Price Reaction: 1.22%(1-Day), 1.83%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-07,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.16 (Actual) vs.0.13 (Estimate) (23.08%)
Revenue: 119.66M (Actual) vs. 117.30M (Estimate) (2.01%)
Price Reaction: 1.95%(1-Day), 10.71%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.18 (Actual) vs.0.10 (Estimate) (80.00%)
Revenue: 125.85M (Actual) vs. 125.67M (Estimate) (0.14%)
Price Reaction: 0.00%(1-Day), -0.63%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how GCMG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GCMG sees a -0.39% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.58% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.50%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.52% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -4.56% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-05
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with record fundraising, high returns, and increased dividends. The Q&A indicates recurring revenue streams and optimism about future fund obligations, despite some uncertainty in timing of carry realizations. While ARS flows are slightly positive, the company's guidance remains cautious. Overall, the financial metrics and shareholder returns are positive, indicating a likely stock price increase.
GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-08
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance, with significant growth in unrealized carried interest and fee-paying AUM. The Q&A section revealed positive sentiments towards strategic initiatives, strong re-ups, and no significant fee pressures, although some uncertainties in AI's financial impact were noted. The overall positive outlook, including robust fundraising expectations and consistent fee growth guidance, suggests a likely positive stock price movement.
GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-10
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, including record fundraising, increased management fees, and robust earnings growth. Optimistic guidance for future fundraising and fee-related earnings, along with a stable dividend and share repurchase plan, further boosts sentiment. Although management was vague on some specifics, the overall tone remains positive, especially with international opportunities and partnerships. The absence of major negative factors and strong financial metrics suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-07
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with significant growth in fundraising, AUM, and earnings. Additionally, the company maintains a steady dividend and share repurchase program, both positive indicators. While some questions in the Q&A highlighted uncertainties, such as market volatility and fee growth dynamics, management's responses indicated resilience and strategic opportunities. The overall sentiment leans positive due to robust financial metrics and optimistic future fundraising expectations, suggesting a likely 2% to 8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-11
Despite some regulatory and market challenges, the company shows strong financial performance with a 63% increase in adjusted net income and a 40% increase in total fundraising. The positive sentiment is reinforced by optimistic guidance on margins and fundraising for 2025, as well as a significant share repurchase program. The Q&A highlights management's confidence in growth, particularly in private markets and retail distribution. The maintained dividend and share repurchase program further support a positive outlook, likely resulting in a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-08
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with significant year-over-year growth in key metrics such as fee-related earnings, adjusted net income, and assets under management. The company maintains a healthy dividend and has an active share repurchase program, indicating confidence in its financial health. Positive guidance for future growth, particularly in private markets and individual investor channels, further supports a positive outlook. The Q&A section reinforces confidence in fundraising and strategic growth, despite some concerns about management's clarity on certain issues.
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-11
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with significant year-over-year increases in fee-related earnings and adjusted net income. Despite some risks like market volatility and net outflows, the company maintains a strong dividend yield and substantial share repurchases. The Q&A section indicates diversity in revenue and a strong fundraising pipeline. The company's optimistic outlook, especially in private markets and credit, coupled with operational efficiency improvements, supports a positive sentiment. However, the lack of clarity on certain risks tempers the overall positive sentiment.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of GCMG’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

GCMG reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 134.97M against an estimate of 126.70M, resulting in a 6.52% surprise. The EPS was 0.19, surpassing the expected 0.16 by 18.75% . The stock experienced a 1.22% price change on the earnings day and a 1.83% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did GCMG’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following GCMG’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by 1.22% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 1.83% change. Historically, GCMG’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.39% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -0.58% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for GCMG for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate GCMG’s annual revenue to reach 160.20M, while the EPS is projected at 0.24. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 1.61% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 1.97% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does GCMG’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between GCMG’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 1.61%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 1.97% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from GCMG’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, GCMG’s stock price typically moves by -0.39% in the 10 days before its earnings and -0.58% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.24 and revenue of 160.20M.
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What is the sentiment in GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with record fundraising, high returns, and increased dividends. The Q&A indicates recurring revenue streams and optimism about future fund obligations, despite some uncertainty in timing of carry realizations. While ARS flows are slightly positive, the company's guidance remains cautious. Overall, the financial metrics and shareholder returns are positive, indicating a likely stock price increase.
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