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FGEN Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of FibroGen Inc(FGEN) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of FibroGen Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-10After Hours-4.01-1.61+59.851.64M1.08M-34.39-9.64-21.00
FY2025Q22025-08-11After Hours-2.25-1.88+16.442.88M1.35M-53.11+10.51+13.44
FY2025Q12025-05-12After Hours0.030.05+66.672.00M2.74M+36.95-2.00+0.20
FY2024Q42025-03-17After Hours-0.08-0.08-24.91M50.41M+102.36-21.80-17.08
FY2024Q22024-08-06--0.26-0.16+38.4634.66M50.64M+46.10-3.30-15.38
FY2024Q12024-05-06--0.31-0.33-6.4536.45M55.90M+53.38+1.75+1.75
FY2023Q42024-02-26--0.42-0.57-35.7138.78M27.14M-30.03+1.65+0.55
FY2023Q32023-11-06--0.68-0.52+23.5336.84M40.13M+8.94-13.60-41.27
FY2023Q22023-08-07--0.72-0.65+9.7234.79M44.32M+27.40-7.33-29.84
-2023-05-08--0.76-0.81-6.58---+2.07+0.11
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FGEN Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, FibroGen Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-10. The company achieved an EPS of -1.61, compared to analyst estimates of -4.01 by 59.85% . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.08M compared to expectations of 1.64M by -34.39% .
The stock price reacted with a -9.64% one-day change and a -21.00% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in FibroGen Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

FGEN Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, FibroGen Inc(FGEN) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 1.64M and an EPS of -3.89.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates have been No Change by 0%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.3% . These revisions correlate with a -31.82% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in FibroGen Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between FGEN's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
No Change
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0.00%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
No Change
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0.00%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+0.3%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
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-31.82%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:9.85M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-3.25
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Stock Price8.25
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Financial AI Agent

FGEN Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

FibroGen Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-10,After Hours):
EPS: -1.61 (Actual) vs.-4.01 (Estimate) (59.85%)
Revenue: 1.08M (Actual) vs. 1.64M (Estimate) (-34.39%)
Price Reaction: -9.64%(1-Day), -21.00%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-11,After Hours):
EPS: -1.88 (Actual) vs.-2.25 (Estimate) (16.44%)
Revenue: 1.35M (Actual) vs. 2.88M (Estimate) (-53.11%)
Price Reaction: 10.51%(1-Day), 13.44%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-12,After Hours):
EPS: 0.05 (Actual) vs.0.03 (Estimate) (66.67%)
Revenue: 2.74M (Actual) vs. 2.00M (Estimate) (36.95%)
Price Reaction: -2.00%(1-Day), 0.20%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how FGEN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, FGEN sees a +21.08% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -6.70% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -2.25%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -9.64% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -22.00% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

FibroGen Inc (FGEN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-10
The earnings call reveals a positive financial performance with increased revenue and reduced expenses. However, uncertainties remain, such as the thrombotic risk in the roxadustat trial and the need for additional capital for Phase III trials. While the company plans to extend its cash runway through strategic sales, the potential impact on operational capacity and flexibility creates a balanced outlook. The raised revenue guidance and cash runway extension are positive, but the Q&A highlights risks and uncertainties that temper overall sentiment, resulting in a neutral prediction.
FibroGen Inc (FGEN) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-08-11
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Financial performance shows improvements with reduced expenses and increased revenue, but guidance is weak with low revenue projections. The Q&A reveals uncertainties in clinical trial designs and market exclusivity, though positive feedback from physicians is encouraging. The divestiture of FibroGen China extends the cash runway, but risks in clinical developments and regulatory approvals remain. Overall, these factors balance out, resulting in a neutral sentiment for the stock price over the next two weeks.
FibroGen Inc (FGEN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-13
The earnings call reflects several challenges: a significant revenue drop, financial instability with a small market cap, and dependency on the FibroGen China sale. Despite a positive cash flow and cost reductions, the company's future hinges on uncertain clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals. The Q&A reveals management's cautious approach, notably holding off on new studies despite cash infusion, indicating strategic hesitance. The small market cap suggests potential volatility, but overall, the negative aspects outweigh the positives, predicting a stock price decrease between -2% and -8%.
FibroGen Inc (FGEN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-12
The earnings call shows mixed signals: a significant revenue drop, but also a substantial reduction in expenses and positive cash flow. The sale of FibroGen China improves cash runway, but regulatory and competitive risks remain. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism about FDA interactions but hesitance in new study investments. The market cap is small, suggesting potential volatility, but the overall sentiment remains neutral due to balanced positive and negative factors.
FibroGen Inc (FGEN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-12
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: the sale of FibroGen China and cost reductions are positive, yet the revenue decline and dependence on the transaction closing are concerning. The Q&A reveals management's cautious stance on new projects and emphasizes pending transaction completion. While the financial health shows improvement, the market reaction is likely neutral due to uncertainties surrounding the transaction and operational risks. The small market cap suggests potential volatility, but the overall sentiment remains balanced.
FibroGen Inc (FGEN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-19
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there are positive aspects such as the sale of FibroGen China to AstraZeneca, expected cash flow positivity, and reduced operating costs, there are also significant concerns. These include a substantial net loss, decreased revenues, and management's reluctance to provide detailed guidance, particularly regarding the futility analysis. The Q&A reveals cautious sentiment among analysts, and the company's focus remains on cost reduction rather than new growth initiatives. Overall, the stock is likely to remain stable, resulting in a neutral prediction.
FibroGen Inc (FGEN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-03-17
The earnings call highlights significant revenue declines and a decrease in development revenue, despite an increase in drug product revenue. The sale of FibroGen China extends the cash runway but also strains cash flow due to debt repayment. The cost reduction plan and headcount cuts may affect operations negatively. Management's vague responses in the Q&A regarding future plans and analyses add uncertainty. While operating costs have decreased, the overall financial health and market strategy appear weak, suggesting a negative stock price movement.
FibroGen Inc (FGEN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-17
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: while there are positive developments like cost reductions and increased drug product revenue, significant revenue declines and ongoing net losses indicate financial challenges. The Q&A section shows management's reluctance to provide detailed guidance, which could concern investors. The sale of FibroGen China improves the cash runway, but the market may remain cautious due to competition and financial uncertainties. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, as positive and negative factors balance each other out.
FibroGen Inc (FGEN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-03-17
The earnings call reveals a mixed picture: while cost reductions and a sale to AstraZeneca improve cash flow and extend runway, significant financial challenges persist, with a net loss and decreased revenue. The Q&A highlights uncertainties in clinical trials and management's evasive responses, adding to concerns. Despite some positive elements like increased drug product revenue, the overall sentiment is negative due to financial risks and unclear guidance.
FibroGen, Inc. (FGEN) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-13
The earnings call summary highlights strong financial performance with significant revenue growth for Roxadustat in China and improved net loss figures due to cost reductions. The Q&A section reveals some uncertainties, but these do not overshadow the positive financial metrics and optimistic guidance for Roxadustat. The company's cash position is solid, supporting operations into 2026. Despite competitive pressures and supply chain challenges, the overall sentiment remains positive, suggesting a potential stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of FGEN’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

FGEN reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-10, showcasing a revenue of 1.08M against an estimate of 1.64M, resulting in a -34.39% surprise. The EPS was -1.61, surpassing the expected -4.01 by 59.85% . The stock experienced a -9.64% price change on the earnings day and a -21% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did FGEN’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following FGEN’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-10, the stock price moved by -9.64% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -21.00% change. Historically, FGEN’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +21.08% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -6.70% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for FGEN for 2025/Q3?

For 2025/Q3, analysts estimate FGEN’s annual revenue to reach 1.64M, while the EPS is projected at -3.89. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue No Change by 0% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.3% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does FGEN’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between FGEN’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.3% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from FGEN’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, FGEN’s stock price typically moves by +21.08% in the 10 days before its earnings and -6.70% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q3 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -3.89 and revenue of 1.64M.
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What is the sentiment in FibroGen Inc (FGEN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reveals a positive financial performance with increased revenue and reduced expenses. However, uncertainties remain, such as the thrombotic risk in the roxadustat trial and the need for additional capital for Phase III trials. While the company plans to extend its cash runway through strategic sales, the potential impact on operational capacity and flexibility creates a balanced outlook. The raised revenue guidance and cash runway extension are positive, but the Q&A highlights risks and uncertainties that temper overall sentiment, resulting in a neutral prediction.
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