1-Day-Price-Prediction
+1.76%
1-Week Prediction
+4.01%
Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that FCF stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $17.21, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $17.59. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $17.39. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $16.66, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $18.34. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Should I Buy First Commonwealth Financial Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. FCF has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
FCF stock price ended at $16.895 on Friday, after losing -0.09%
The First Commonwealth Financial Corp stock price decreased by -0.09% on the last trading day (18 Jul 2025), dropping from 16.69 to 16.91. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.92% , ranging from a day low of $16.665 to a day high of 16.985. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -0.41% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -21.27K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 858.18K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 14.49M.
FCF Technical Signals
FCF(First Commonwealth Financial Corp Corp) has 6 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-07-07. The total price change during this trend is -0.29%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of FCF over the last 5 trading days is 10.36M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
FCF Moving Average Analysis
First Commonwealth Financial Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, July 19, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $17.50, and $17.89. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $16.24, and $15.86. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
FCF Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of First Commonwealth Financial Corp(FCF) as of 16 Jul 2025 is 21.61%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 16.60 to 16.65. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
1
Buy
6
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
6 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.698
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.301
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
10.114
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
20-day SMA crosses above 200-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
20-day SMA crosses above 250-day SMA
--
Bullish
1 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.07
Bearish
FCF Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
In 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp (FCF) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $10.10 and $21.32.
First Commonwealth Financial Corp Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 5.62%
In Jan 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $16.71. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $16.34 and a high of $16.96.
Feb 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 0.33%
In Feb 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $15.87. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $13.22 and a high of $18.77.
Mar 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -1.98%
In Mar 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $15.51. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $15.11 and a high of $17.49.
Apr 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -15.04%
In Apr 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $13.44. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $10.84 and a high of $14.04.
May 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 8.61%
In May 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $17.18. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $16.32 and a high of $17.80.
Jun 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -15.04%
In Jun 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $13.44. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $10.10 and a high of $15.27.
Jul 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 5.34%
In Jul 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $16.66. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $13.63 and a high of $17.02.
Aug 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 15.97%
In Aug 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $18.35. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $16.27 and a high of $18.99.
Sep 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 15.97%
In Sep 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $18.35. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $16.66 and a high of $21.32.
Oct 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 10.48%
In Oct 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $17.48. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $17.02 and a high of $19.24.
Nov 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 3.62%
In Nov 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $16.39. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $16.21 and a high of $17.84.
Dec 2026: FCF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 2.42%
In Dec 2026, First Commonwealth Financial Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $16.20. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $13.62 and a high of $18.70.
FCF Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to First Commonwealth Financial Corp(FCF), our algorithm predicts FCF's 1-month price at $16.89, with an -0.67%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.58%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for First Commonwealth Financial Corp (FCF.N) stock, as of Sunday, July 13, 2025 , forecasts a -0.67% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with NWBI.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.58%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
FCF
No Data
NWBI
Down: -0.67%Similarity: 99.58%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
NWBI.O
99.58%
-0.67%
BKU.N
99.50%
+1.69%
PEBO.O
99.41%
+0.60%
EQBK.N
99.39%
-7.03%
SMBK.O
99.36%
+2.70%
MBWM.O
99.33%
+0.39%
CAC.O
99.24%
-0.66%
STBA.O
99.23%
-0.23%
SBSI.O
99.22%
+1.01%
ASB.N
99.22%
+1.06%
FCF Seasonality Analysis
Based on FCF's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is57.14%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in FCF. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at83.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying First Commonwealth Financial Corp (FCF.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while August has the lowest probability (30.77%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows First Commonwealth Financial Corp. (FCF)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy First Commonwealth Financial Corp (FCF.N) stock?
Which months have the highest win rate for buying First Commonwealth Financial Corp (FCF.N) stock in a year?
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Which bull technical signals does FCF have?
Which bearish technical signals does FCF have?
Is FCF a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
What is the trend of First Commonwealth Financial Corp (FCF)'s moving average?
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What is price prediction 2025 for FCF Stock?