Based on the available data and recent market movements, here's a comprehensive analysis and price prediction for EXEL for the next trading week:
Technical Analysis
The stock is currently trading at $34.40, showing a positive momentum with RSI at 47.44, indicating a neutral position with room for upward movement. The stock is trading above both its 20-day moving average ($34.07) and 200-day moving average ($27.79), suggesting a strong long-term uptrend.
Recent Developments Morgan Stanley recently upgraded EXEL to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $40, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 16% from current levels. The upgrade was based on an "undemanding" valuation, indicating the stock might be undervalued at current levels.
Additionally, positive clinical trial results from the CABINET trial for cabozantinib in treating neuroendocrine tumors have shown promising outcomes. The drug demonstrated a 50% increase in progression-free survival compared to placebo, with FDA approval anticipated by April 2025.
Price Targets for Next Week Based on Fibonacci levels:
Prediction and Recommendation Given the technical indicators and positive fundamental catalysts:
RECOMMENDATION: BUY Entry point: Current market price ($34.40) The combination of strong technical setup, positive analyst sentiment, and upcoming FDA catalyst suggests a bullish outlook for next week. The stock shows potential for a 2-3% upside movement with limited downside risk due to strong support levels.
The price of EXEL is predicted to go up -12.39%, based on the high correlation periods with BATL. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 94.98%.
EXEL
BATL
Cabozantinib has been effective in a variety of cancers, including kidney, liver, and thyroid cancers, and label expansions could further expand the drug's market opportunity.
Partnerships allow Exelixis to receive milestones and economic benefits from drug candidate progression while offsetting some of the clinical development costs.
Exelixis' collaborations with large pharma players such as Roche/Genentech and Bristol lend credibility to the firm's potential.
Oppenheimer
2025-01-16
Price Target
$38 → $41
Upside
+12.18%
Truist Securities
2025-01-15
Price Target
$38 → $42
Upside
+12.69%
JMP Securities
2025-01-15
Price Target
$34 → $41
Upside
+10.01%