ERO Valuation

Ero Copper Corp

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17.420

+0.06(0.346%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ERO Relative Valuation

ERO's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ERO is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Ero Copper Corp (ERO) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 6.70 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 10.28. The fair price of Ero Copper Corp (ERO) is between 30.94 to 47.83 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 17.42 USD , Ero Copper Corp is Undervalued By 43.69%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

30.94-47.83

Current Price：17.42

43.69%

Undervalued

6.70

Trailing

Forward

4.51

EV/EBITDA

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.51. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 5.55. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.75, Undervalued between 2.75 and 4.15, Fairly Valued between 6.95 and 4.15, Overvalued between 6.95 and 8.35, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.35. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.51 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.45

EV/EBIT

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) has a current EV/EBIT of 6.45. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 7.51. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.72, Undervalued between 2.72 and 5.12, Fairly Valued between 9.91 and 5.12, Overvalued between 9.91 and 12.31, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.31. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 6.45 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.98

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) has a current PS of 1.98. The 5-year average PS is 2.79. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.28, Undervalued between 1.28 and 2.04, Fairly Valued between 3.54 and 2.04, Overvalued between 3.54 and 4.29, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.29. The current Forward PS of 1.98 falls within the Undervalued range.

4.24

P/OCF

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) has a current P/OCF of 4.24. The 5-year average P/OCF is 6.02. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.53, Undervalued between 2.53 and 4.28, Fairly Valued between 7.77 and 4.28, Overvalued between 7.77 and 9.51, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.51. The current Forward P/OCF of 4.24 falls within the Undervalued range.

9.91

P/FCF

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) has a current P/FCF of 9.91. The 5-year average P/FCF is -27.86. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -223.57, Undervalued between -223.57 and -125.72, Fairly Valued between 69.99 and -125.72, Overvalued between 69.99 and 167.84, and Strongly Overvalued above 167.84. The current Forward P/FCF of 9.91 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Ero Copper Corp (ERO) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.18. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.48 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -11.90% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 3.64, the current P/B ratio is about -40.01% higher. Ero Copper Corp (ERO) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -12.89%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -4.65% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

2.18

P/B

Median3y

2.48

Median5y

3.64

-0.92

FCF Yield

Median3y

-12.89

Median5y

-4.65

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ERO's competitors is 4.45, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Ero Copper Corp Corp (ERO) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is -100.00% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 39.64%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

TMC the metals company Inc

Collective Mining Ltd

Loss

1.14B

ALM.O

Almonty Industries Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ERO decreased by 22.05% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 5.39 to 12.58.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 39.64%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ERO in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

39.64%

117.09M → 163.51M

Revenue Growth

-195.24%

-45.61 → 43.44

Margin Expansion

133.55%

5.39 → 12.58

P/E Change

-22.05%