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ERO Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Ero Copper Corp(ERO) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Ero Copper Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-04After Hours0.360.27-25.00182.93M176.93M-3.28+3.87+11.16
FY2025Q22025-07-31After Hours0.330.46+39.39159.23M163.32M+2.56-0.81+0.22
FY2025Q12025-05-05After Hours0.190.35+84.21128.77M125.13M-2.82+11.33+5.51
FY2024Q42025-03-06After Hours0.210.17-19.05128.82M122.01M-5.29-0.49+0.81
FY2024Q32024-11-05After Hours0.220.27+22.73133.51M124.96M-6.40-8.27-12.41
FY2024Q22024-08-01-0.170.18+5.88108.15M116.87M+8.06-4.10-7.08
FY2024Q12024-05-07-0.050.16+220.0094.82M105.58M+11.35-1.27+2.41
FY2023Q42024-03-07-0.230.21-8.70118.49M116.45M-1.72-1.35+3.05
FY2023Q22023-08-03-0.230.24+4.35109.08M104.79M-3.93-2.92-6.06
-2023-05-08-0.230.24+4.35---+0.49-14.65
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ERO Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Ero Copper Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-04. The company achieved an EPS of 0.27, compared to analyst estimates of 0.36 by -25.00% . Revenue for the quarter reached 176.93M compared to expectations of 182.93M by -3.28% .
The stock price reacted with a 3.87% one-day change and a 11.16% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Ero Copper Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

ERO Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Ero Copper Corp(ERO) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 301.70M and an EPS of 1.06.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 3.09%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 4.5%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 10.65% . These revisions correlate with a 67.87% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Ero Copper Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between ERO's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+3.09%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+4.5%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+10.65%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+67.87%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:790.86M
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.10
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Stock Price25.13
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Financial AI Agent

ERO Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Ero Copper Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-04,After Hours):
EPS: 0.27 (Actual) vs.0.36 (Estimate) (-25.00%)
Revenue: 176.93M (Actual) vs. 182.93M (Estimate) (-3.28%)
Price Reaction: 3.87%(1-Day), 11.16%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-31,After Hours):
EPS: 0.46 (Actual) vs.0.33 (Estimate) (39.39%)
Revenue: 163.32M (Actual) vs. 159.23M (Estimate) (2.56%)
Price Reaction: -0.81%(1-Day), 0.22%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-05,After Hours):
EPS: 0.35 (Actual) vs.0.19 (Estimate) (84.21%)
Revenue: 125.13M (Actual) vs. 128.77M (Estimate) (-2.82%)
Price Reaction: 11.33%(1-Day), 5.51%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ERO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ERO sees a -0.11% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.29% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.48%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 3.87% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 6.79% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Ero Copper Corp (ERO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-05
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and operational improvements, particularly in mechanization and cost control. Despite some inflationary pressures and unclear responses regarding the gold concentrate, the positive outlook for production and cost reductions supports a positive sentiment. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price prediction of 2% to 8%.
Ero Copper Corp (ERO) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-01
The earnings call reveals strong operational improvements and strategic advancements, particularly in achieving commercial production at Tucumã and enhancing operational flexibility at Caraíba and Xavantina. Full-year guidance reaffirms positive outlooks with increasing EBITDA and natural deleveraging. Although there are concerns about grade declines and unclear management responses in some areas, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strategic initiatives and shareholder return plans. Given the market cap, the stock price is likely to experience a positive movement within the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
Ero Copper Corp (ERO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-07
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Financial performance shows strong adjusted EBITDA and net income, but challenges at Tucuma and potential production delays at Xavantina raise concerns. The shareholder return plan is positive, but financial risks and unclear guidance for Tucuma temper optimism. The Q&A reveals management's reluctance to provide specific guidance, suggesting uncertainty. Overall, the market reaction is likely neutral, with offsetting positive and negative factors.
Ero Copper Corp (ERO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-06
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with adjusted EBITDA of $65.4 million and net income of $35.8 million. The liquidity position is robust at $116 million, and credit facilities have increased, signaling confidence. Although there are concerns about Tucuma's operational delays and power issues, the overall sentiment is positive due to improved grades at Xavantina and strong production guidance. The Q&A section suggests that while there are operational challenges, they are being managed effectively. Given the company's small-cap status, these factors are likely to result in a positive stock price movement.
Ero Copper Corp (ERO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-06
The earnings call highlights strong adjusted EBITDA and net income, alongside a solid liquidity position. However, the Q&A section reveals concerns about production efficiency due to operational risks and unclear management responses on commercial production timing. Additionally, the absence of a share repurchase or dividend program tempers shareholder return expectations. The company's proactive financial risk management and ongoing growth initiatives provide some positive sentiment, but the lack of clear guidance and potential production inefficiencies result in a neutral outlook.
Ero Copper Corp (ERO) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-10
The earnings call presents mixed signals: strong financial metrics with record copper production and improved metal prices, but challenges like power outages, material flow constraints, and foreign exchange losses. The management's cautious stance on capital returns and ongoing production issues at Caraíba and Xavantina add uncertainty. While financial performance is solid, operational risks and unclear guidance on power solutions and capital returns temper positive sentiment, leading to a neutral outlook. Given the market cap of approximately $2.24 billion, significant stock movement is unlikely.
Ero Copper Corp (ERO) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-07
The earnings call reflects both positive and negative elements. Strong financial metrics such as increased cash flow and EBITDA are positive, but material flow constraints, foreign exchange losses, and production softness pose risks. The Q&A highlights ongoing issues with power stability and unclear management responses about future plans. The shareholder return plan is contingent on debt reduction, adding uncertainty. Considering the company's small market cap, the stock might react within a neutral range (-2% to 2%) over the next two weeks.
Ero Copper Corp (ERO) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-07
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Financial performance shows strong cash flow and EBITDA, but increased C1 costs and foreign exchange losses are concerns. The Q&A reveals ongoing power issues and potential operational risks, but management seems confident in addressing them. The shareholder return plan is cautious, pending debt reduction. The market cap indicates moderate sensitivity to news. Overall, the positives and negatives balance out, leading to a neutral sentiment.
Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-06
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with reduced costs, increased operating cash flows, and a solid liquidity position. Despite some operational challenges, optimistic guidance and a focus on operational flexibility are evident. The Q&A section reveals that management is addressing issues and prioritizing debt repayment, with potential future shareholder returns. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction. Overall, the positive financial metrics and strategic responses to challenges suggest a likely positive stock price movement within the next two weeks.
Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-02
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Financial performance is strong with increased copper production and reduced costs, but there are significant risks, including safety incidents and market uncertainties. The lack of a shareholder return plan and unclear management responses contribute to a neutral outlook. The market cap indicates moderate stock volatility, and while strong production metrics and cost reductions are positive, they are offset by operational and regulatory risks, leading to a neutral prediction.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of ERO’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

ERO reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 176.93M against an estimate of 182.93M, resulting in a -3.28% surprise. The EPS was 0.27, surpassing the expected 0.36 by -25% . The stock experienced a 3.87% price change on the earnings day and a 11.16% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did ERO’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following ERO’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by 3.87% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 11.16% change. Historically, ERO’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.11% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.29% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ERO for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ERO’s annual revenue to reach 301.70M, while the EPS is projected at 1.06. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 3.09% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 10.65% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does ERO’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between ERO’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 3.09%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 10.65% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from ERO’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, ERO’s stock price typically moves by -0.11% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.29% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.06 and revenue of 301.70M.
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What is the sentiment in Ero Copper Corp (ERO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and operational improvements, particularly in mechanization and cost control. Despite some inflationary pressures and unclear responses regarding the gold concentrate, the positive outlook for production and cost reductions supports a positive sentiment. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price prediction of 2% to 8%.
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