ARVN Stock Price Prediction

Arvinas Inc

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7.200

-0.300(-4.000%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Should I Buy Arvinas Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ARVN has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

ARVN stock price ended at $7.2 on Friday, after losing -4%

The Arvinas Inc stock price decreased by -4% on the last trading day (30 May 2025), dropping from 7.5 to 7.2. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 7.91% , ranging from a day low of $6.95 to a day high of 7.5. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 15.02% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -231.46K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.03M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 14.48M.

ARVN Technical Signals

ARVN(Arvinas Inc Corp) has 2 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is uptrend starting from 2025-03-11. The total price change during this trend is -13.25%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of ARVN over the last 5 trading days is 16.22M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

ARVN Moving Average Analysis

Arvinas Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, May 31, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $7.728724866666667, and $8.278766666666666. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $5.949008466666667, and $5.398966666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

ARVN Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Arvinas Inc(ARVN) as of 27 May 2025 is 25.66%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 6.51 to 6.69. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

2 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.94

Bullish

Moving Average

10-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

85.807

Bearish

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-0.44

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.291

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

94.082

Bearish

ARVN Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Arvinas Inc(ARVN), our algorithm predicts ARVN's 1-month price at $6.60, with an 1.65%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.90%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Arvinas Inc (ARVN.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 1.65% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CTEV.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.9%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

ARVN

Future prediction

Up: 1.65%

CTEV

Up: 1.65%Similarity: 96.9%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

CTEV.N

96.90%

+1.65%

OFIX.O

96.79%

-1.04%

ASMB.O

96.71%

+53.62%

MBIN.O

96.67%

+7.88%

COMM.O

96.47%

-25.11%

CERS.O

96.40%

-27.35%

ESEA.O

96.20%

-5.70%

SEMR.N

96.10%

+0.98%

ONC.O

96.08%

+6.22%

HFBL.O

96.05%

+0.94%

ARVN Seasonality Analysis

Based on ARVN's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is42.86%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in ARVN. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at83.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Arvinas Inc (ARVN.O) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while March has the lowest probability (14.29%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Arvinas Inc. (ARVN)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.