Should You Buy EPR Properties (EPR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
53.840
1 Day change
4.14%
52 Week Range
61.240
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Buy now for a beginner long-term investor seeking income: EPR is trading near key support (~51.77) with an attractive ~6%+ dividend profile highlighted in recent coverage, while fundamentals (Q3 2025) showed strong YoY earnings growth. Near-term price momentum is weak, but the risk/reward at current levels looks favorable for a long-term hold rather than trying to time a perfect entry.
Technical Analysis
Price/levels: Post-market ~$51.8, sitting right on S1 support (51.773) and below the pivot (53.694). That implies the stock is currently in a weak/defensive zone but also near a level where bounces often start.
Momentum: MACD histogram (-0.268) is below zero and negatively expanding → bearish momentum still in control.
RSI: RSI(6) ~27.2 (near oversold). This suggests downside may be getting extended and supports a buy-for-bounce/long-term entry thesis, even though it’s not a confirmed reversal yet.
Moving averages: Converging MAs → consolidation after weakness; a break back above ~53.7 (pivot) would be an early improvement signal.
Probabilistic pattern read: Similar-pattern stats imply modest upside bias over 1 week to 1 month (+1.5% / +5.69%), consistent with “near-support mean reversion.”
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment read: Put/Call OI ratio 0.86 is slightly call-leaning (not fearful). The very low put/call volume ratio (0.07) indicates today’s options flow was heavily call-dominated, which is typically bullish near-term sentiment.
Activity: Today’s option volume (475) is elevated vs 30-day average (224%).
Volatility: 30D IV ~27.84 vs HV ~26.54 (IV slightly > realized), and IV percentile ~87 suggests options are priced rich relative to the past year—market is pricing more uncertainty than usual (often around catalysts like earnings). For a stock buyer (not an option buyer), elevated IV is not a deal-breaker and can reflect active positioning.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
11
Positive Catalysts
on 2026-02-25 after hours (Est. EPS 1.
could be a catalyst if guidance/tenant trends improve.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Technical trend is still bearish: MACD continues to deteriorate; price is below pivot resistance (53.694).
- Analyst caution on growth drivers: JPMorgan cited reduced deal volume, no Catskills land sale, and lower percentage rents in lowering estimates.
- Business sensitivity: As a REIT, valuation can remain sensitive to rate expectations; if rates rise/reaccelerate, REIT multiples can compress.
- Operational headline risk: Management previously lowered box office expectations (per Truist note), which can weigh on sentiment given EPR’s theater exposure.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
- Revenue: $182.306M, +1.0% YoY (steady, modest top-line growth).
- Net income: $60.554M, +49.08% YoY (strong profitability improvement).
- EPS: $0.79, +49.06% YoY (material earnings acceleration).
- Gross margin: 68.8%, +0.88% YoY (slight margin improvement).
Overall: The quarter shows strong earnings/EPS growth on modest revenue growth—positive for a long-term income investor, suggesting improving profitability/operating leverage.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Mixed-to-slightly more cautious on targets.
- 2025-12-02 JPMorgan: Overweight maintained, price target cut to $58 from $65 (more conservative assumptions).
- 2025-11-25 Wells Fargo: Equal Weight maintained, target cut to $54 from $56.
- 2025-11-18 Truist: Hold maintained, target raised to $57 from $55.
Wall Street pros view (pros): Targets still above the current ~$51.8, and at least one major firm maintains an Overweight, implying upside + income appeal.
Wall Street cons view (cons): Multiple target cuts reflect tempered expectations on deal volume/percentage rents and certain asset-sale assumptions.
Influential/politician trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge fund and insider activity described as neutral (no notable recent buying/selling signal).
Wall Street analysts forecast EPR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EPR is 57.29 USD with a low forecast of 54 USD and a high forecast of 62.75 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast EPR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EPR is 57.29 USD with a low forecast of 54 USD and a high forecast of 62.75 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 51.700
Low
54
Averages
57.29
High
62.75
Current: 51.700
Low
54
Averages
57.29
High
62.75
JPMorgan
Overweight
downgrade
$65 -> $58
AI Analysis
2025-12-02
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$65 -> $58
AI Analysis
2025-12-02
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on EPR Properties to $58 from $65 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm reduced 2026 and 2027 estimates for EPR to reflect deal volume, no Catskills land sale, and lower percentage rents.
Wells Fargo
Equal Weight
downgrade
$56 -> $54
2025-11-25
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$56 -> $54
2025-11-25
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Wells Fargo lowered the firm's price target on EPR Properties to $54 from $56 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm says that despite a few high-profile exceptions, most REITs delivered Q3 2025 earnings and outlooks reflecting healthy operating conditions despite macro and labor market concerns.
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